Football · Egypt Division 1 · 31/10, 19:00
Prediction: Petrojet vs Smouha
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.11Total
Petrojet1.07
Smouha1.04
1X2
Petrojet
Draw
Smouha
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Petrojet
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Smouha
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Petrojet
3–1–2
Smouha
(6 last)
- Smouha0-0Petrojet
- Smouha1-2Petrojet
- Petrojet0-1Smouha
- Smouha2-0Petrojet
- Petrojet1-0Smouha
- Petrojet2-1Smouha
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Petrojet 1492 · Smouha 1476
| Petrojet | Draw | Smouha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 33% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 33% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.11 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Petrojet: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Petrojet | Smouha | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Petrojet 3–1–2 Smouha
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/25 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Petrojet |
| 18/03/25 Egypt League Cup | Smouha | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Petrojet |
| 11/02/25 Egypt Division 1 | Petrojet | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Smouha |
| 21/05/19 Egypt Division 1 | Smouha | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Petrojet |
| 26/11/18 Egypt Division 1 | Petrojet | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Smouha |
| 02/02/18 Egypt Division 1 | Petrojet | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Smouha |
Standings · Egypt Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
| 2 | El Zamalek | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Cairo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Modern Sport FC | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 13 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad Al Sakandary | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Al Moqawloon Al Arab | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| 8 | National Bank | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | ZED FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Smouha | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | El Masry | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 12 | Al Qanah | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | Petrojet | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 |
| 14 | Wadi Degla | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Talaea El Geish | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 16 | Asyut Petroleum | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 |
| 17 | Enppi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 4 |
| 18 | Abo Qir Semad | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| 18 | Ghazl El Mahallah | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
| 20 | El Gounah | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Petrojet | Smouha |
|---|---|---|
| Ceramica Cleopatra | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| El Gounah | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| El Masry | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| El Zamalek | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Talaea El Geish | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Asyut Petroleum | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Smouha (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Petrojet
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 13/10 | Wadi Degla Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 16/09 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 07/09 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/08 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 17 | 3 | D |
| 28/05 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Haras El Hedoud Egypt Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Modern Sport FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Smouha
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | El Gounah Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 12/10 | Ghazl El Mahallah Egypt Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Talaea El Geish Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/09 | Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/09 | Al Ahly Cairo Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/08 | Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Pyramids FC Egypt Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | El Zamalek Egypt Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 27/04 | El Masry Egypt Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Petrojet vs Smouha?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Petrojet win (34%). Probabilities: Petrojet 34%, draw 33%, Smouha 33%.
How many goals are expected in Petrojet vs Smouha?
The model expects 2.11 goals (Petrojet 1.07 · Smouha 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Petrojet vs Smouha?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.