Football · Romania Cup · 12/08, 16:30
Prediction: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Team pages: Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.38Total
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti1.2
Metaloglobus Bucuresti2.18
1X2
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
Draw
Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Metaloglobus Bucuresti
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
0–2–4
Metaloglobus Bucuresti
(6 last)
- Metaloglobus Bucuresti6-1AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
- AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti0-1Metaloglobus Bucuresti
- AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti0-0Metaloglobus Bucuresti
- Metaloglobus Bucuresti1-1AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
- Metaloglobus Bucuresti3-0AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
- AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti2-3Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1502 · Metaloglobus Bucuresti 1473
| AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | Draw | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 22% | 59% |
| Market | 20% | 21% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.38 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Metaloglobus Bucuresti: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/38/38% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.1 | 2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 0–2–4 Metaloglobus Bucuresti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/24 Europe Friendlies | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 6-1 HT 1-1 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
| 21/10/23 Romania Liga 2 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti |
| 20/05/23 Romania Liga 2 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti |
| 13/05/23 Romania Liga 2 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 1-1 HT 1-1 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
| 26/11/22 Romania Liga 2 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti | 3-0 HT 3-0 | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti |
| 02/07/22 Europe Friendlies | AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti | 2-3 HT 2-2 | Metaloglobus Bucuresti |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | FC Bolintin Malu Spart Romania Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 29/07 | ACS Progresul Fundulea Romania Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | ACS Aro Muscelul C-Lung Muscel Club Friendly List |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 15/05 | Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III |
4-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Dunarea Giurgiu Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Oltul Curtisoara Romania Liga III |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | CSM Alexandria Romania Liga III |
2-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/04 | CSL Nanov Romania Liga III |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | ACSO Filiasi Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 27/03 | Acs Axi Arena Romania Liga III |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Metaloglobus Bucuresti
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | AFC Metalul Buzau Romania Liga 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Farul Constanta Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | AFC Hermannstadt Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 02/05 | Otelul Galati Romania Liga I |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 27/04 | FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 20/04 | FC Botosani Romania Liga I |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 05/04 | ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I |
0-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 21/03 | Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Metaloglobus Bucuresti win (59%). Probabilities: AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 20%, draw 21%, Metaloglobus Bucuresti 59%.
How many goals are expected in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti?
The model expects 3.38 goals (AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti 1.2 · Metaloglobus Bucuresti 2.18), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AFC Progresul Spartac Bucuresti vs Metaloglobus Bucuresti?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.