Prediction: Atletico Astorga vs Arosa

Team pages: Atletico Astorga

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Atletico Astorga1.57
Arosa1.75
1X2
33% 26% 41%
Atletico Astorga Draw Arosa
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico Astorga 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLWLDLL
Arosa 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLDLDDWLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico Astorga 1444 · Arosa 1476
Atletico AstorgaDrawArosa
Our model34%25%41%
Market33%26%41%
Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico AstorgaArosa
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.81.6 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 10.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/40/50%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 3.62.2 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.44.2 / 0

Standings · Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1 · Segunda Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Sestao River 10811 13325
2 Eibar B 10622 19920
3 Alaves B 10622 231420
4 Bergantinos 10532 231518
5 Compostela 10523 13917
6 Portugalete 10442 151216
7 Amorebieta 10514 121016
8 Real Oviedo B 10433 131615
9 Basconia 10352 151514
10 Ourense 10424 91214
11 Gernika 10262 15912
12 Rayo Cantabria 10325 131711
13 UD Llanera 10316 162410
14 Coruxo 10235 9139
15 Arosa 10154 16228
16 Marino de Luanco 10226 8148
17 Atletico Astorga 10217 12187
18 Gimnastica de Torrelavega 10136 7196

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico AstorgaArosa
Gernika 1-1 D 0-4 L
Compostela 1-4 L 1-2 L
Ourense 4-0 W 0-0 D
Amorebieta 0-1 L 2-2 D
Sestao River 0-2 L 0-1 L
Basconia 2-3 L 2-2 D
Portugalete 0-1 L 3-3 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 5 L 0 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Arosa (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico Astorga

LLWLLWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/11 Eibar B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-3 1-4 14 L
01/11 Rayo Cantabria
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-2 78 L
24/10 Gernika
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
1-1 1-1 –– D
17/10 Compostela
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-3 1-4 72 L
10/10 Ourense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
2-0 4-0 28 W
03/10 Amorebieta
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-1 53 L
26/09 Sestao River
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-2 28 L
19/09 Marino de Luanco
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 3-0 –– W
13/09 Basconia
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 2-3 25 L
05/09 Portugalete
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-1 35 L

Arosa

DLDLDDWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/11 Compostela
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
1-1 1-2 102 L
01/11 Portugalete
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 3-3 115 D
24/10 Sestao River
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 0-1 66 L
18/10 UD Llanera
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
2-0 4-1 55 W
11/10 Bergantinos
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 2-2 43 D
04/10 Ourense
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-0 0-0 35 D
27/09 Alaves B
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
1-2 2-5 –– L
19/09 Basconia
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-1 2-2 55 D
13/09 Gernika
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
0-2 0-4 82 L
06/09 Amorebieta
Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 1
1-1 2-2 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico Astorga vs Arosa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Arosa win (41%). Probabilities: Atletico Astorga 33%, draw 26%, Arosa 41%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico Astorga vs Arosa?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Atletico Astorga 1.57 · Arosa 1.75), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico Astorga vs Arosa?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.