Football · Paraguay Cup · 12/08, 21:30

Prediction: Sportivo Iteno vs Guarani Asuncion

Team pages: Sportivo Iteno · Guarani Asuncion

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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Sportivo Iteno0.72
Guarani Asuncion1.79
1X2
14% 23% 63%
Sportivo Iteno Draw Guarani Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo Iteno 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
DDLDLWDWDL
Guarani Asuncion 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WDLDWLLWWD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sportivo Iteno 1495 · Guarani Asuncion 1531
Sportivo ItenoDrawGuarani Asuncion
Our model13%25%62%
Market15%21%64%
Estimated total (ours) 2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Sportivo ItenoGuarani Asuncion
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.31 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.50.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.32.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.14.3 / 0.3

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sportivo Iteno

DDLDLWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/08 CS Limpeno
Paraguay Primera B
0-0 0-1 48 L
26/07 Silvio Pettirossi
Paraguay Tercera Division
2-2 3-3 72 D
23/07 Deportivo Capiata
Paraguay Cup
1-0 3-2 95 W
18/07 River Plate Asuncion
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 1-1 36 D
11/07 Cristobal Colon JAS
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 1-0 55 W
08/07 Club 1 de Marzo Fdm
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-0 1-2 75 L
03/07 Presidente Hayes
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-0 1-1 33 D
28/06 3 de Febrero FBC
Paraguay Tercera Division
0-1 0-1 37 L
06/06 Atletico Colegiales
Paraguay Tercera Division
1-1 1-1 42 D
02/06 Club General Martin Ledesma
Paraguay Cup
1-1 1-1 87 D

Guarani Asuncion

WDLDWLLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Nacional Asuncion
Paraguay Division Profesional
0-0 0-0 15 D
02/08 Libertad Asuncion
Paraguay Division Profesional
0-1 2-1 35 W
30/07 Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguay Division Profesional
0-0 1-0 60 W
26/07 Sportivo Luqueno
Paraguay Division Profesional
0-0 1-2 44 L
23/05 Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguay Division Profesional
1-2 1-2 85 L
16/05 Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguay Division Profesional
1-0 1-0 76 W
12/05 Cerro Porteno
Paraguay Division Profesional
0-0 0-0 33 D
04/05 Nacional Asuncion
Paraguay Division Profesional
0-0 0-1 21 L
26/04 2 de Mayo
Paraguay Division Profesional
1-0 2-2 17 D
18/04 Sportivo Luqueno
Paraguay Division Profesional
1-0 2-1 510 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sportivo Iteno vs Guarani Asuncion?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guarani Asuncion win (63%). Probabilities: Sportivo Iteno 14%, draw 23%, Guarani Asuncion 63%.

How many goals are expected in Sportivo Iteno vs Guarani Asuncion?

The model expects 2.51 goals (Sportivo Iteno 0.72 · Guarani Asuncion 1.79), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sportivo Iteno vs Guarani Asuncion?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.