Football · Northern Ireland Championship Women · 07/08, 20:30

Prediction: Sion Swifts (W) vs Bangor FC (W)

Team pages: Sion Swifts (W) · Bangor FC (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.54Total

Sion Swifts (W)3.27

Bangor FC (W)1.27

1X2

77% 12% 10%

Sion Swifts (W) Draw Bangor FC (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

3-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sion Swifts (W) 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Bangor FC (W) 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sion Swifts (W) 3–0 Bangor FC (W) (3 last)

Bangor FC (W)1-4Sion Swifts (W)
Bangor FC (W)0-4Sion Swifts (W)
Sion Swifts (W)8-0Bangor FC (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sion Swifts (W) 1649 · Bangor FC (W) 1545

	Sion Swifts (W)	Draw	Bangor FC (W)
Our model	75%	14%	11%
Market	79%	11%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 4.54 goals · Bet365 line 4.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sion Swifts (W) (rating 1649 vs 1545).
H2H favours Sion Swifts (W): 3-0-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sion Swifts (W)	Bangor FC (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	4.7 / 0.7	3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 0.3	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 6.2	3.1 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	0.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.14

X8.00

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.82

2 (+2.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.51.95

Under 4.51.85

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 5.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.14 → 1.14	Bet365 1.14
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +15’	1.14	8.00	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sion Swifts (W) 3–0–0 Bangor FC (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/04/26 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Bangor FC (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Sion Swifts (W)
31/08/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Bangor FC (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Sion Swifts (W)
21/05/25 Northern Ireland Championship Women	Sion Swifts (W)	8-0 HT 3-0	Bangor FC (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sion Swifts (W)	Bangor FC (W)
Strabane Athletic (W)	9-1 W	5-3 W
St. James Swifts (W)	5-0 W	1-4 L
Ballyclare Comrades (W)	3-1 W	4-1 W
Mid Ulster (W)	3-1 W	7-0 W
Craigavon City (W)	6-0 W	2-0 W
Ballymena Utd (W)	3-0 W	0-0 D
Ballymoney United (W)	6-0 W	6-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sion Swifts (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sion Swifts (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	4-0	9-1	10	0	W
17/07	Larne FC (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women	1-1	2-2	4	4	D
10/07	St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	5-0	5	3	W
08/07	Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-1	3-1	7	2	W
03/07	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	3-0	3-1	8	0	W
15/05	Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	3-0	6-0	0	2	W
06/05	Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
29/04	Bangor FC (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	4-1	1	1	W
15/04	Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	6-0	13	3	W
25/03	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-1	6-1	8	0	W

Bangor FC (W)

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Greenisland (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	3-1	6	0	W
24/07	Craigavon City (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	2-0	10	0	W
17/07	Derry City (W) Northern Ireland Cup Women	0-6	1-9	5	2	L
08/07	Ballymena Utd (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
01/07	Ballymoney United (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-0	6-1	3	0	W
17/06	Strabane Athletic (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	5-3	8	2	W
03/06	Ballyclare Comrades (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	2-0	4-1	8	0	W
13/05	Mid Ulster (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	3-0	7-0	3	1	W
06/05	St. James Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	1-2	1-4	4	1	L
29/04	Sion Swifts (W) Northern Ireland Championship Women	0-2	1-4	6	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sion Swifts (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sion Swifts (W) win (77%). Probabilities: Sion Swifts (W) 77%, draw 12%, Bangor FC (W) 10%.

How many goals are expected in Sion Swifts (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

The model expects 4.54 goals (Sion Swifts (W) 3.27 · Bangor FC (W) 1.27), with a 52% chance of under 4.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sion Swifts (W) vs Bangor FC (W)?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.