Football · England FA WSL 2 · 08/11, 15:00

Prediction: Southampton (W) vs Sheff Utd (W)

Team pages: Southampton (W) · Sheff Utd (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Southampton (W)2.37

Sheff Utd (W)1.3

1X2

60% 21% 19%

Southampton (W) Draw Sheff Utd (W)

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Southampton (W) 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWDDDLD

Sheff Utd (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLW

Head-to-head

Southampton (W) 6–0 Sheff Utd (W) (6 last)

Southampton (W)5-2Sheff Utd (W)
Sheff Utd (W)0-2Southampton (W)
Sheff Utd (W)2-3Southampton (W)
Southampton (W)2-0Sheff Utd (W)
Sheff Utd (W)0-1Southampton (W)
Southampton (W)2-1Sheff Utd (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Southampton (W) 1548 · Sheff Utd (W) 1392

	Southampton (W)	Draw	Sheff Utd (W)
Our model	60%	21%	19%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Southampton (W) (rating 1548 vs 1392).
H2H favours Southampton (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Southampton (W)	Sheff Utd (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.5 / 2.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.4 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 6.3	2.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +14’	1.48	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Southampton (W) 6–0–0 Sheff Utd (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 England FA WSL 2	Southampton (W)	5-2 HT 2-1	Sheff Utd (W)
21/12/25 England FA WSL 2	Sheff Utd (W)	0-2 HT 0-1	Southampton (W)
27/04/25 England Championship Women	Sheff Utd (W)	2-3 HT 0-1	Southampton (W)
29/09/24 England Championship Women	Southampton (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Sheff Utd (W)
28/01/24 England Championship Women	Sheff Utd (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	Southampton (W)
05/11/23 England Championship Women	Southampton (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Sheff Utd (W)

Standings · England FA WSL 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Newcastle (W)	6	5	1	0	16	3	16
2	Ipswich Town (W)	6	4	2	0	10	4	14
3	Sunderland (W)	6	4	1	1	12	7	13
4	Bristol City (W)	6	3	1	2	12	9	10
5	Nottm Forest (W)	6	2	4	0	10	7	10
6	Southampton (W)	6	1	4	1	7	6	7
7	Wolverhampton (W)	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
8	Leicester (W)	6	2	1	3	8	12	7
9	Sheff Utd (W)	6	2	0	4	11	14	6
10	Watford (W)	6	1	3	2	10	13	6
11	Burnley (W)	6	0	2	4	4	11	2
12	Durham (W)	6	0	0	6	7	20	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Southampton (W)	Sheff Utd (W)
Leicester (W)	2-2 D	0-1 L
Bristol City (W)	1-2 L	0-4 L
Ipswich Town (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Durham (W)	3-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Southampton (W) (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Southampton (W)

WWDWWDDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Leicester (W) England FA WSL 2	2-1	2-2	4	1	D
04/10	Bristol City (W) England FA WSL 2	1-0	1-2	5	7	L
27/09	Nottm Forest (W) England FA WSL 2	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
20/09	Sunderland (W) England FA WSL 2	0-0	0-0	8	2	D
13/09	Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
06/09	Durham (W) England FA WSL 2	0-0	3-1	9	2	W
02/05	Nottm Forest (W) England FA WSL 2	2-0	3-0	6	3	W
26/04	Charlton (W) England FA WSL 2	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
03/04	Sheff Utd (W) England FA WSL 2	2-1	5-2	8	3	W
28/03	Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2	1-1	2-1	2	2	W

Sheff Utd (W)

LLLLLLLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Burnley (W) England FA WSL 2	1-2	4-3	6	0	W
04/10	Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
27/09	Durham (W) England FA WSL 2	1-1	4-1	8	6	W
20/09	Newcastle (W) England FA WSL 2	1-2	1-4	3	1	L
13/09	Wolverhampton (W) England FA WSL 2	0-0	1-3	8	2	L
06/09	Leicester (W) England FA WSL 2	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
02/05	Bristol City (W) England FA WSL 2	0-2	0-4	2	0	L
26/04	Durham (W) England FA WSL 2	0-1	1-2	8	5	L
22/04	Ipswich Town (W) England FA WSL 2	0-1	1-4	7	4	L
03/04	Southampton (W) England FA WSL 2	1-2	2-5	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Southampton (W) vs Sheff Utd (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Southampton (W) win (60%). Probabilities: Southampton (W) 60%, draw 21%, Sheff Utd (W) 19%.

How many goals are expected in Southampton (W) vs Sheff Utd (W)?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Southampton (W) 2.37 · Sheff Utd (W) 1.3), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Southampton (W) vs Sheff Utd (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.