Football · Colombia Primera B · 12/08, 02:45
Prediction: Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena
Team pages: Boca Juniors De Cali · Union Magdalena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Boca Juniors De Cali0.55
Union Magdalena1.52
1X2
Boca Juniors De Cali
Draw
Union Magdalena
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Boca Juniors De Cali
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Union Magdalena
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Boca Juniors De Cali
1–1–4
Union Magdalena
(6 last)
- Union Magdalena0-2Boca Juniors De Cali
- Union Magdalena1-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-0Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena3-0Boca Juniors De Cali
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-1Union Magdalena
- Boca Juniors De Cali0-2Union Magdalena
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Boca Juniors De Cali 1513 · Union Magdalena 1492
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Draw | Union Magdalena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 28% | 60% |
| Market | 13% | 26% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Union Magdalena: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Boca Juniors De Cali | Union Magdalena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.9 | 2.5 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Boca Juniors De Cali 1–1–4 Union Magdalena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 23/10/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 12/05/24 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 22/02/23 Colombia Cup | Union Magdalena | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Boca Juniors De Cali |
| 16/02/23 Colombia Cup | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 21/08/21 Colombia Primera B | Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Union Magdalena |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Itagui Leones | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Envigado FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Real San Andres | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Boca Juniors De Cali
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 24/07 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 21/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 15/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Real San Andres Colombia Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 07/04 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Union Magdalena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Independiente Santa Fe Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Magdalena win (61%). Probabilities: Boca Juniors De Cali 13%, draw 26%, Union Magdalena 61%.
How many goals are expected in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Boca Juniors De Cali 0.55 · Union Magdalena 1.52), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Boca Juniors De Cali vs Union Magdalena?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.