Football · Hungary NB III · 12/08, 17:30

Prediction: Dunaujvaros FC vs Erdi VSE

Team pages: Erdi VSE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Dunaujvaros FC1.74

Erdi VSE1.74

1X2

38% 25% 38%

Dunaujvaros FC Draw Erdi VSE

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Dunaujvaros FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLWLLL

Erdi VSE 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDWDW

Head-to-head

Dunaujvaros FC 1–2–1 Erdi VSE (4 last)

Erdi VSE3-3Dunaujvaros FC
Dunaujvaros FC2-2Erdi VSE
Erdi VSE4-1Dunaujvaros FC
Dunaujvaros FC1-0Erdi VSE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunaujvaros FC 1464 · Erdi VSE 1551

	Dunaujvaros FC	Draw	Erdi VSE
Our model	38%	24%	38%
Market	38%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Erdi VSE (rating 1464 vs 1551).
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dunaujvaros FC	Erdi VSE
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.9	2.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	3.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	5.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +4’	2.40	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunaujvaros FC 1–2–1 Erdi VSE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Hungary NB III	Erdi VSE	3-3 HT 2-2	Dunaujvaros FC
10/08/25 Hungary NB III	Dunaujvaros FC	2-2 HT 2-0	Erdi VSE
29/10/23 Hungary NB III	Erdi VSE	4-1 HT 1-1	Dunaujvaros FC
16/02/19 Europe Friendlies	Dunaujvaros FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Erdi VSE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	MTK Budapest II	2	2	0	0	12	2	6
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	2	2	0	0	9	1	6
3	Ivancsa	2	2	0	0	7	0	6
4	Pecsi MFC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
5	PEAC FC	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
6	Erdi VSE	2	1	1	0	6	4	4
7	Ferencvarosi TC II	1	1	0	0	2	0	3
8	Budafoki MTE	2	1	0	1	3	4	3
9	Majosi SE	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
9	Paksi SE II	2	0	1	1	3	5	1
11	Budaorsi SC	2	0	1	1	3	10	1
12	BFC Siofok	2	0	0	2	2	4	0
13	Sarbogard SE	2	0	0	2	1	3	0
14	Dunaujvaros FC	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
15	Dunaharaszti MTK	2	0	0	2	0	4	0
16	Szekszardi	2	0	0	2	0	12	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunaujvaros FC	Erdi VSE
Majosi SE	2-7 L	3-3 D
Kaposvari Rakoczi	0-2 L	2-1 W
BFC Siofok	1-1 D	2-1 W
Balatonlelle SE	2-0 W	3-2 W
FC Nagykanizsa	1-1 D	1-3 L
Ivancsa	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Erdi VSE (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dunaujvaros FC

WDWDLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/05	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
17/05	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
10/05	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
03/05	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
26/04	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-5	2-7	2	3	L
19/04	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
11/04	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
05/04	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/03	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
22/03	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Erdi VSE

LWLWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	3-0	3-1	5	4	W
25/07	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	1-1	3-3	7	7	D
11/07	Bicskei TC Europe Friendlies	1-0	3-1	6	0	W
24/05	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-0	3-3	8	7	D
17/05	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
10/05	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
02/05	Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III	1-2	3-2	8	7	W
26/04	FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	6	7	L
19/04	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	5	4	W
11/04	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	2	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunaujvaros FC vs Erdi VSE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dunaujvaros FC win (38%). Probabilities: Dunaujvaros FC 38%, draw 25%, Erdi VSE 38%.

How many goals are expected in Dunaujvaros FC vs Erdi VSE?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Dunaujvaros FC 1.74 · Erdi VSE 1.74), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunaujvaros FC vs Erdi VSE?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.