Football · USA USL Championship · 09/08, 02:30

Prediction: San Antonio FC vs Tulsa

Team pages: San Antonio FC · Tulsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

San Antonio FC1.27

Tulsa0.94

1X2

44% 29% 27%

San Antonio FC Draw Tulsa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

San Antonio FC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDWLWW

Tulsa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLLWDW

Head-to-head

San Antonio FC 1–3–2 Tulsa (6 last)

Tulsa1-2San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC0-0Tulsa
Tulsa0-0San Antonio FC
Tulsa2-0San Antonio FC
San Antonio FC1-1Tulsa
San Antonio FC1-3Tulsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · San Antonio FC 1540 · Tulsa 1496

	San Antonio FC	Draw	Tulsa
Our model	43%	31%	26%
Market	44%	28%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Antonio FC (rating 1540 vs 1496).
H2H favours Tulsa: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC	Tulsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.2	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4	1.7 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.20

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
17:35 +1’	2.00	3.20	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC 1–3–2 Tulsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 USA USL Cup	Tulsa	1-2 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC
02/04/26 USA US Open Cup	San Antonio FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Tulsa
15/03/26 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC
12/10/25 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	2-0 HT 1-0	San Antonio FC
29/05/25 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Tulsa
04/08/24 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-3 HT 1-1	Tulsa

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	18	9	7	2	29	19	34
2	San Antonio FC	18	8	7	3	25	20	31
3	New Mexico United	15	8	3	4	20	15	27
4	Sacramento Republic	16	7	5	4	24	15	26
5	Tulsa	16	7	5	4	19	16	26
6	Lexington SC	17	7	4	6	27	22	25
7	Colorado Switchbacks FC	17	7	4	6	28	24	25
8	El Paso Locomotive FC	17	6	4	7	27	27	22
9	Phoenix Rising FC	18	5	7	6	24	25	22
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	17	6	4	7	25	27	22
11	Oakland Roots	18	5	6	7	25	28	21
12	Monterey Bay FC	18	4	3	11	19	30	15

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC	Tulsa
Las Vegas Lights FC	1-2 L	0-0 D
Monterey Bay FC	0-0 D	2-0 W
Colorado Switchbacks FC	2-1 W	1-2 L
Lexington SC	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tulsa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

San Antonio FC

WDWLWDWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-0	3-1	5	2	W
26/07	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	6	7	W
19/07	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	5	6	L
12/07	Chattanooga Red Wolves USA USL Cup	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
05/07	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
25/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
14/06	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
07/06	Tulsa USA USL Cup	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
28/05	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-3	4-4	5	5	D
24/05	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	2-0	2-1	0	9	W

Tulsa

WDLLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
26/07	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	6	10	D
19/07	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
12/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup	1-1	1-3	4	5	L
21/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
18/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
07/06	San Antonio FC USA USL Cup	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
31/05	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
23/05	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in San Antonio FC vs Tulsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a San Antonio FC win (44%). Probabilities: San Antonio FC 44%, draw 29%, Tulsa 27%.

How many goals are expected in San Antonio FC vs Tulsa?

The model expects 2.21 goals (San Antonio FC 1.27 · Tulsa 0.94), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in San Antonio FC vs Tulsa?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.