Football · USA USL Championship · 09/08, 01:00

Prediction: Charleston Battery vs Miami FC

Team pages: Charleston Battery · Miami FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.75Total

Charleston Battery2.67

Miami FC1.08

1X2

70% 18% 12%

Charleston Battery Draw Miami FC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Charleston Battery 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWWLDDLW

Miami FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Charleston Battery 3–1–2 Miami FC (6 last)

Charleston Battery3-0Miami FC
Miami FC1-0Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery2-0Miami FC
Miami FC1-2Charleston Battery
Charleston Battery1-2Miami FC
Miami FC1-1Charleston Battery

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charleston Battery 1541 · Miami FC 1490

	Charleston Battery	Draw	Miami FC
Our model	70%	17%	12%
Market	70%	18%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 3.75 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charleston Battery (rating 1541 vs 1490).
H2H favours Charleston Battery: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Charleston Battery	Miami FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.3	1.8 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.7	1.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.6	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 7.50	Bet365 7.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +2’	1.28	5.00	7.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charleston Battery 3–1–2 Miami FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/07/25 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	3-0 HT 2-0	Miami FC
19/06/25 USA USL Championship	Miami FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Charleston Battery
20/07/24 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	2-0 HT 0-0	Miami FC
31/03/24 USA USL Championship	Miami FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Charleston Battery
08/10/23 USA USL Championship	Charleston Battery	1-2 HT 1-0	Miami FC
16/07/23 USA USL Championship	Miami FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Charleston Battery

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampa Bay Rowdies	18	11	5	2	33	19	38
2	Charleston Battery	18	9	3	6	37	24	30
3	Detroit City FC	17	8	4	5	25	17	28
4	Louisville City FC	18	8	3	7	32	31	27
5	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	18	8	2	8	20	20	26
6	Miami FC	19	5	7	7	24	31	22
7	Rhode Island FC	16	6	4	6	25	19	22
8	Indy Eleven	16	6	3	7	19	20	21
9	Hartford Athletic	17	4	8	5	12	16	20
10	Loudoun United FC	17	3	9	5	21	29	18
11	Birmingham Legion FC	17	3	8	6	18	21	17
12	Brooklyn FC	17	3	4	10	17	32	13
13	Sporting JAX	19	1	5	13	23	51	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Charleston Battery	Miami FC
Colorado Switchbacks FC	1-2 L	0-2 L
Indy Eleven	0-2 L	2-0 W
Tampa Bay Rowdies	2-2 D	2-3 L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Charleston Battery (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Charleston Battery

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	2-0	5-0	3	7	W
26/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
19/07	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
12/07	Charlotte Independence USA USL Cup	1-1	2-2	8	3	D
04/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	4	5	L
25/06	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
21/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	3-1	5-2	2	5	W
14/06	Tulsa USA USL Championship	3-1	5-1	3	4	W
11/06	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	0-1	2-2	3	6	D
07/06	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Cup	0-0	0-0	10	4	D

Miami FC

WLDLDWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Detroit City FC USA USL Championship	0-1	2-2	3	9	D
26/07	Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship	1-2	2-3	3	10	L
23/07	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
16/07	Indy Eleven USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	1	1	W
12/07	Sarasota Paradise USA USL Cup	3-0	5-0	5	3	W
06/07	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
25/06	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-4	8	4	L
14/06	Oakland Roots USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
31/05	Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	3	4	L
24/05	Louisville City FC USA USL Championship	2-1	4-3	0	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Charleston Battery vs Miami FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Charleston Battery win (70%). Probabilities: Charleston Battery 70%, draw 18%, Miami FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Charleston Battery vs Miami FC?

The model expects 3.75 goals (Charleston Battery 2.67 · Miami FC 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Charleston Battery vs Miami FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.