Football · USA USL Championship · 09/08, 02:00
Prediction: Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Louisville City FC
Team pages: Colorado Switchbacks FC · Louisville City FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Colorado Switchbacks FC1.61
Louisville City FC1.45
1X2
Colorado Switchbacks FC
Draw
Louisville City FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colorado Switchbacks FC
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Louisville City FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colorado Switchbacks FC
0–1–3
Louisville City FC
(4 last)
- Colorado Switchbacks FC0-1Louisville City FC
- Louisville City FC2-1Colorado Switchbacks FC
- Colorado Switchbacks FC2-3Louisville City FC
- Colorado Switchbacks FC1-1Louisville City FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colorado Switchbacks FC 1542 · Louisville City FC 1508
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | Draw | Louisville City FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Louisville City FC: 3-1-0.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | Louisville City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 10/90/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.9 | 3.6 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Switchbacks FC 0–1–3 Louisville City FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/25 USA USL Championship | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Louisville City FC |
| 20/07/24 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Colorado Switchbacks FC |
| 03/09/23 USA USL Championship | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Louisville City FC |
| 24/07/21 USA USL Championship | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Louisville City FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Tulsa | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Lexington SC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 25 |
| 7 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 22 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising FC | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 22 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 15 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colorado Switchbacks FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 14 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/07 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Orange County SC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 14 | 2 | W |
| 25/06 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Louisville City FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 30/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Cup |
2-2 | 4-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 11/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Louisville City FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Switchbacks FC win (40%). Probabilities: Colorado Switchbacks FC 40%, draw 26%, Louisville City FC 33%.
How many goals are expected in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Louisville City FC?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Colorado Switchbacks FC 1.61 · Louisville City FC 1.45), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Colorado Switchbacks FC vs Louisville City FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.