Prediction: UMF Selfoss vs Ymir Kopavogur
Team pages: UMF Selfoss · Ymir Kopavogur
| UMF Selfoss | Draw | Ymir Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 18% | 11% |
| Market | 72% | 15% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UMF Selfoss (rating 1566 vs 1477).
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| UMF Selfoss | Ymir Kopavogur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.3 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.2 | 4 / 0.3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
UMF Selfoss
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Dalvik/Reynir Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Kormakur/Hvot Iceland 2 Deild |
1-2 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | Fjardabyggd Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 08/07 | Arborg Iceland Lower League Cup |
4-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 03/07 | KFG Gardabaer Iceland 2 Deild |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/06 | Haukar Iceland 2 Deild |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Magni Grenivik Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 15/06 | Throttur Vogar Iceland 2 Deild |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | Kari Iceland 2 Deild |
0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
Ymir Kopavogur
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | KH Hlidarendi Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 17/07 | Augnablik Kopavogur Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/07 | Tindastoll Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Hviti Riddarinn Iceland Lower League Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/07 | KV Vesturbaer Iceland 3 Deild |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Reynir Sandgerdi Iceland 3 Deild |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Hottur/Huginn Iceland 3 Deild |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 11/06 | KA Asvellir Iceland 3 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | KF Fjallabyggd Iceland 3 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 01/06 | Vidir Gardur Iceland 3 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in UMF Selfoss vs Ymir Kopavogur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a UMF Selfoss win (71%). Probabilities: UMF Selfoss 71%, draw 16%, Ymir Kopavogur 12%.
How many goals are expected in UMF Selfoss vs Ymir Kopavogur?
The model expects 3.39 goals (UMF Selfoss 2.47 · Ymir Kopavogur 0.92), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in UMF Selfoss vs Ymir Kopavogur?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.