Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Inter vs FC Lahti

Team pages: FC Inter · FC Lahti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

FC Inter1.51

FC Lahti0.84

1X2

52% 27% 21%

FC Inter Draw FC Lahti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWDDLWW

FC Lahti 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDDWWWLW

Head-to-head

FC Inter 6–0 FC Lahti (6 last)

FC Lahti0-2FC Inter
FC Inter1-0FC Lahti
FC Inter3-1FC Lahti
FC Inter3-0FC Lahti
FC Lahti0-2FC Inter
FC Inter3-2FC Lahti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter 1579 · FC Lahti 1490

	FC Inter	Draw	FC Lahti
Our model	52%	29%	20%
Market	53%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1579 vs 1490).
H2H favours FC Inter: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter	FC Lahti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.1	2.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:19 +1’	1.73	3.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter 6–0–0 FC Lahti

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	0-2 HT 0-0	FC Inter
14/02/26 Finland Liigacup	FC Inter	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Lahti
30/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Lahti
08/07/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	3-0 HT 2-0	FC Lahti
07/06/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Inter
27/01/24 Finland Liigacup	FC Inter	3-2 HT 3-0	FC Lahti

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	18	11	6	1	33	16	39
2	FC Inter	18	9	7	2	25	14	34
3	AC Oulu	18	9	3	6	22	21	30
4	HJK Helsinki	17	8	4	5	28	20	28
5	IF Gnistan	18	8	4	6	27	22	28
6	VPS Vaasa	18	7	6	5	24	17	27
7	FC Lahti	18	7	4	7	22	16	25
8	TPS	18	7	4	7	23	20	25
9	FC Ilves	18	6	4	8	29	31	22
10	FF Jaro	18	3	6	9	17	35	15
11	SJK	17	3	5	9	19	27	14
12	IFK Mariehamn	18	0	5	13	9	39	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter	FC Lahti
IF Gnistan	1-2 L	1-0 W
FF Jaro	0-0 D	2-0 W
IFK Mariehamn	2-0 W	2-0 W
SJK	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lahti (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Inter

DWWDWDDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
30/07	Istanbul Basaksehir UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
26/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/07	Istanbul Basaksehir UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	1	3	D
19/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
16/07	FK Sarajevo UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	2-1	4	2	W
09/07	FK Sarajevo UEFA Conference League Qualifying	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
30/06	VPS Vaasa Finland Cup	0-1	3-2	4	2	W
27/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
23/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	3	8	D

FC Lahti

LLLDDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
26/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
20/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
04/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
27/06	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-1	1	5	D
23/06	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
17/06	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	6	6	L
13/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
10/06	FC Ilves Finland Cup	2-4	2-5	3	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter vs FC Lahti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter win (52%). Probabilities: FC Inter 52%, draw 27%, FC Lahti 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter vs FC Lahti?

The model expects 2.35 goals (FC Inter 1.51 · FC Lahti 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter vs FC Lahti?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.