Football · Ukraine Druha Liga · 03/08, 14:00
Prediction: FC Atlet Kyiv vs FC Rebel Kyiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.61Total
FC Atlet Kyiv1.31
FC Rebel Kyiv1.31
1X2
FC Atlet Kyiv
Draw
FC Rebel Kyiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Atlet Kyiv
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Rebel Kyiv
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Atlet Kyiv 1521 · FC Rebel Kyiv 1508
| FC Atlet Kyiv | Draw | FC Rebel Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Atlet Kyiv | FC Rebel Kyiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Atlet Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | FC Nyva Vinnytsia Ukraine Druha Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 01/05 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | FK Real Pharma Odessa Ukraine Druha Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/04 | FK Vilhivci Ukraine Druha Liga |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/04 | FC Uzhhorod Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 03/10 | FK Skala Stryi Ukraine Druha Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/09 | FK Real Pharma Odessa Ukraine Druha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 14/09 | FC Uzhhorod Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-1 | 0-6 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 30/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
FC Rebel Kyiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05 | PFC Oleksandria II Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Dinaz Vyshgorod Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 08/04 | FC Hirnyk Sport Komsomolsk Ukraine Druha Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 04/04 | Chernomorets Odessa II Ukraine Druha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/03 | FC Livyi Bereh II Ukraine Druha Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/03 | FC Trostianets Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 30/11 | Chayka Petropavlovsk Borshchagovka Ukraine Druha Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 22/11 | Dinaz Vyshgorod Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 13/11 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Druha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Atlet Kyiv vs FC Rebel Kyiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Atlet Kyiv win (36%). Probabilities: FC Atlet Kyiv 36%, draw 28%, FC Rebel Kyiv 36%.
How many goals are expected in FC Atlet Kyiv vs FC Rebel Kyiv?
The model expects 2.61 goals (FC Atlet Kyiv 1.31 · FC Rebel Kyiv 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Atlet Kyiv vs FC Rebel Kyiv?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.