Football · Cambodia Premier League · 08/11, 12:00
Prediction: Svay Rieng FC vs Naga World FC
Team pages: Svay Rieng FC · Naga World FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.58Total
Svay Rieng FC2.36
Naga World FC1.22
1X2
Svay Rieng FC
Draw
Naga World FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Svay Rieng FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Naga World FC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Svay Rieng FC
4–2–0
Naga World FC
(6 last)
- Svay Rieng FC1-1Naga World FC
- Naga World FC1-1Svay Rieng FC
- Naga World FC1-2Svay Rieng FC
- Svay Rieng FC3-0Naga World FC
- Svay Rieng FC2-1Naga World FC
- Naga World FC0-4Svay Rieng FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Svay Rieng FC 1545 · Naga World FC 1494
| Svay Rieng FC | Draw | Naga World FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Market | 62% | 20% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Svay Rieng FC (rating 1545 vs 1494).
- H2H favours Svay Rieng FC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Svay Rieng FC | Naga World FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/22/44% | 56/11/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.7 | 3.6 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Svay Rieng FC 4–2–0 Naga World FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Cambodia Premier League | Svay Rieng FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Naga World FC |
| 08/03/26 Cambodia Premier League | Naga World FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Svay Rieng FC |
| 23/11/25 Cambodia Premier League | Naga World FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Svay Rieng FC |
| 10/08/25 Cambodia Premier League | Svay Rieng FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Naga World FC |
| 30/04/25 Cambodia Premier League | Svay Rieng FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Naga World FC |
| 29/03/25 Cambodia Premier League | Naga World FC | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Svay Rieng FC |
Standings · Cambodia Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Visakha FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | Naga World FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Svay Rieng FC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Angkor Tiger FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 8 |
| 6 | Life FC Sihanoukville | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | ISI Dangkor Senchey FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 6 |
| 8 | Phnom Penh Crown | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Boeung Ket FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 10 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 4 |
| 11 | RCAF | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Svay Rieng FC | Naga World FC |
|---|---|---|
| Boeung Ket FC | 4-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Tiffy Army FC | 4-0 W | 5-4 W |
| Kirivong Sok Sen Chey | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Phnom Penh Crown | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Angkor Tiger FC | 3-4 L | 1-4 L |
| MOI Kompong Dewa FC | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Svay Rieng FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Svay Rieng FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Visakha FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | D |
| 18/10 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/09 | ISI Dangkor Senchey FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 12/09 | Tiffy Army FC Cambodia Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 06/09 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Cambodia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 07/05 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Naga World FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
3-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Naga World FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 25/10 | Boeung Ket FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
| 17/10 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Tiffy Army FC Cambodia Premier League |
2-3 | 5-4 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Life FC Sihanoukville Cambodia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 11 | W |
| 05/09 | Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Angkor Tiger FC Cambodia Premier League |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Phnom Penh Crown Cambodia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | MOI Kompong Dewa FC Cambodia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Svay Rieng FC Cambodia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Svay Rieng FC vs Naga World FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Svay Rieng FC win (62%). Probabilities: Svay Rieng FC 62%, draw 20%, Naga World FC 18%.
How many goals are expected in Svay Rieng FC vs Naga World FC?
The model expects 3.58 goals (Svay Rieng FC 2.36 · Naga World FC 1.22), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Svay Rieng FC vs Naga World FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.