Prediction: Maroons vs SC Villa
Team pages: Maroons · SC Villa
- SC Villa1-1Maroons
- SC Villa1-0Maroons
- SC Villa2-0Maroons
- Maroons1-0SC Villa
- SC Villa0-2Maroons
- Maroons1-1SC Villa
| Maroons | Draw | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 30% | 45% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Villa (rating 1490 vs 1567).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maroons | SC Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maroons 2–2–2 SC Villa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Uganda Super 8 | SC Villa | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Maroons |
| 19/03/26 Uganda Cup | SC Villa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maroons |
| 19/02/26 Uganda Premier League | SC Villa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Maroons |
| 06/12/25 Uganda Premier League | Maroons | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SC Villa |
| 09/03/25 Uganda Premier League | SC Villa | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Maroons |
| 24/10/24 Uganda Premier League | Maroons | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SC Villa |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maroons | SC Villa |
|---|---|---|
| URA | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Mbarara City | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| NEC FC Bugolobi | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| BUL FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: SC Villa (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maroons
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | SC Villa Uganda Super 8 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 12/05 | Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 07/05 | KCCA Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 28/04 | URA Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Uganda Police FC Uganda Premier League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 21/04 | Mbarara City Uganda Premier League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/04 | BUL FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
SC Villa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Maroons Uganda Super 8 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Kitara FC Uganda Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 20/05 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | URA Uganda Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Mbarara City Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 08/05 | BUL FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | URA Uganda Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/04 | Kitara FC Uganda Premier League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Buhimba United Saints FC Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maroons vs SC Villa?
According to our model, the most likely result is an SC Villa win (46%). Probabilities: Maroons 25%, draw 29%, SC Villa 46%.
How many goals are expected in Maroons vs SC Villa?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Maroons 0.98 · SC Villa 1.4), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Maroons vs SC Villa?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.