Football · Tanzania Premier League · 23/10, 13:00
Prediction: Azam FC vs Mashujaa FC
Team pages: Azam FC · Mashujaa FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Azam FC1.89
Mashujaa FC0.59
1X2
Azam FC
Draw
Mashujaa FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Azam FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Mashujaa FC
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Azam FC
3–3–0
Mashujaa FC
(6 last)
- Azam FC2-0Mashujaa FC
- Mashujaa FC0-1Azam FC
- Mashujaa FC0-0Azam FC
- Azam FC2-0Mashujaa FC
- Mashujaa FC0-0Azam FC
- Azam FC0-0Mashujaa FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Azam FC 1572 · Mashujaa FC 1484
| Azam FC | Draw | Mashujaa FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 22% | 10% |
| Market | 70% | 18% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Azam FC (rating 1572 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Azam FC: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Azam FC | Mashujaa FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.5 | 2.1 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Azam FC 3–3–0 Mashujaa FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/26 Tanzania Premier League | Azam FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Mashujaa FC |
| 17/05/26 Tanzania Cup | Mashujaa FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Azam FC |
| 19/03/26 Tanzania Premier League | Mashujaa FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Azam FC |
| 15/02/25 Tanzania Premier League | Azam FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Mashujaa FC |
| 29/09/24 Tanzania Premier League | Mashujaa FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Azam FC |
| 17/04/24 Tanzania Premier League | Azam FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Mashujaa FC |
Standings · Tanzania Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba Sports Club | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Dodoma Jiji FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | JKT Tanzania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 6 | Mashujaa FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Polisi Tanzania FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Mbeya City | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo FC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 6 |
| 15 | Pamba SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 5 |
| 16 | Singida Fountain Gate FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Azam FC | Mashujaa FC |
|---|---|---|
| Coastal Union | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Simba Sports Club | 0-2 L | 1-6 L |
| Kagera Sugar | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Polisi Tanzania FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Dodoma Jiji FC | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Azam FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Azam FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/09 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Namungo FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 31/08 | Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Geita Gold Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Pamba SC Tanzania Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 20/08 | TRA United Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 30/06 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Mashujaa FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Simba Sports Club Tanzania Premier League |
0-2 | 1-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 08/10 | Polisi Tanzania FC Tanzania Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 09/09 | Singida Black Stars Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Dodoma Jiji FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Kagera Sugar Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Mbeya City Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/08 | Singida Fountain Gate FC Tanzania Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Coastal Union Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/06 | Tanzania Prisons Tanzania Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | KMC FC Tanzania Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Azam FC vs Mashujaa FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Azam FC win (69%). Probabilities: Azam FC 69%, draw 20%, Mashujaa FC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Azam FC vs Mashujaa FC?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Azam FC 1.89 · Mashujaa FC 0.59), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Azam FC vs Mashujaa FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.