Football · Uganda Super 8 · 07/08, 18:00

Prediction: BUL FC vs KCCA

Team pages: BUL FC · KCCA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
BUL FC0.89
KCCA1.62
1X2
20% 27% 54%
BUL FC Draw KCCA
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
BUL FC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
LDLWLDDDLL
KCCA 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
LWWLDWWDWW
Head-to-head
BUL FC 1–2–3 KCCA (6 last)
  • KCCA2-1BUL FC
  • KCCA2-1BUL FC
  • BUL FC1-2KCCA
  • KCCA1-2BUL FC
  • BUL FC1-1KCCA
  • BUL FC1-1KCCA
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BUL FC 1440 · KCCA 1568
BUL FCDrawKCCA
Our model20%27%53%
Market20%26%54%
Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KCCA (rating 1440 vs 1568).
  • H2H favours KCCA: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BUL FCKCCA
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.51.4 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.6 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.12.7 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.13.7 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · BUL FC 123 KCCA

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Uganda Super 8
KCCA2-1
HT 1-1
BUL FC
18/02/26
Uganda Premier League
KCCA2-1
HT 1-1
BUL FC
07/12/25
Uganda Premier League
BUL FC1-2
HT 1-0
KCCA
12/04/25
Uganda Premier League
KCCA1-2
HT 0-1
BUL FC
20/09/24
Uganda Premier League
BUL FC1-1
HT 0-0
KCCA
13/04/24
Uganda Cup
BUL FC1-1
HT 1-1
KCCA

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBUL FCKCCA
Entebbe UPPC 0-4 L 1-0 W
Kitara FC 1-1 D 1-0 W
SC Villa 0-0 D 0-1 L
UPDF FC 2-5 L 2-1 W
URA 1-1 D 0-0 D
Maroons 0-1 L 3-0 W
Record vs common 0 W 3 D 3 L 4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: KCCA (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BUL FC

LDLWLDDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 KCCA
Uganda Super 8
1-1 1-2 25 L
23/05 Entebbe UPPC
Uganda Premier League
0-1 0-4 L
19/05 Kitara FC
Uganda Premier League
1-1 1-1 36 D
12/05 Lugazi FC
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-0 76 D
08/05 SC Villa
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-0 44 D
28/04 NEC FC Bugolobi
Uganda Premier League
0-1 0-1 57 L
24/04 Express FC
Uganda Premier League
0-0 2-0 62 W
21/04 UPDF FC
Uganda Premier League
1-4 2-5 110 L
16/04 URA
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-1 23 D
08/04 Maroons
Uganda Premier League
0-1 0-1 62 L

KCCA

LWWLDWWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 BUL FC
Uganda Super 8
1-1 2-1 85 W
23/05 Mbarara City
Uganda Premier League
2-0 4-1 71 W
19/05 URA
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-0 44 D
13/05 UPDF FC
Uganda Premier League
0-1 2-1 55 W
07/05 Maroons
Uganda Premier League
1-0 3-0 84 W
29/04 Vipers SC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-1 03 D
25/04 FC Calvary
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-1 L
21/04 Entebbe UPPC
Uganda Premier League
0-0 1-0 35 W
17/04 Kitara FC
Uganda Premier League
1-0 1-0 55 W
11/04 SC Villa
Uganda Premier League
0-0 0-1 52 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BUL FC vs KCCA?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KCCA win (54%). Probabilities: BUL FC 20%, draw 27%, KCCA 54%.

How many goals are expected in BUL FC vs KCCA?

The model expects 2.52 goals (BUL FC 0.89 · KCCA 1.62), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BUL FC vs KCCA?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.