Prediction: BUL FC vs KCCA
- KCCA2-1BUL FC
- KCCA2-1BUL FC
- BUL FC1-2KCCA
- KCCA1-2BUL FC
- BUL FC1-1KCCA
- BUL FC1-1KCCA
| BUL FC | Draw | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 27% | 53% |
| Market | 20% | 26% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KCCA (rating 1440 vs 1568).
- H2H favours KCCA: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| BUL FC | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.1 | 2.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · BUL FC 1–2–3 KCCA
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Uganda Super 8 | KCCA | 2-1 HT 1-1 | BUL FC |
| 18/02/26 Uganda Premier League | KCCA | 2-1 HT 1-1 | BUL FC |
| 07/12/25 Uganda Premier League | BUL FC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | KCCA |
| 12/04/25 Uganda Premier League | KCCA | 1-2 HT 0-1 | BUL FC |
| 20/09/24 Uganda Premier League | BUL FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | KCCA |
| 13/04/24 Uganda Cup | BUL FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | KCCA |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | BUL FC | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| Entebbe UPPC | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Kitara FC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| SC Villa | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| UPDF FC | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| URA | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Maroons | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: KCCA (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
BUL FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | KCCA Uganda Super 8 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 19/05 | Kitara FC Uganda Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 12/05 | Lugazi FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 28/04 | NEC FC Bugolobi Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/04 | Express FC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
1-4 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 16/04 | URA Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 08/04 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
KCCA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | BUL FC Uganda Super 8 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Mbarara City Uganda Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | URA Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | UPDF FC Uganda Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 07/05 | Maroons Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Vipers SC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | FC Calvary Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Entebbe UPPC Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 17/04 | Kitara FC Uganda Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | SC Villa Uganda Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in BUL FC vs KCCA?
According to our model, the most likely result is an KCCA win (54%). Probabilities: BUL FC 20%, draw 27%, KCCA 54%.
How many goals are expected in BUL FC vs KCCA?
The model expects 2.52 goals (BUL FC 0.89 · KCCA 1.62), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in BUL FC vs KCCA?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.

