Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 13/11, 20:30

Prediction: US Latina Calcio vs Campobasso

Team pages: US Latina Calcio · Campobasso

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

US Latina Calcio1.36

Campobasso1.09

1X2

42% 29% 29%

US Latina Calcio Draw Campobasso

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

US Latina Calcio 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDLDDWWDDL

Campobasso 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDDWDLLWWD

Head-to-head

US Latina Calcio 1–2 Campobasso (3 last)

Campobasso2-0US Latina Calcio
Campobasso2-0US Latina Calcio
US Latina Calcio4-1Campobasso

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Latina Calcio 1480 · Campobasso 1529

	US Latina Calcio	Draw	Campobasso
Our model	42%	30%	29%
Market	42%	29%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Campobasso (rating 1480 vs 1529).
H2H favours Campobasso: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	US Latina Calcio	Campobasso
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.1	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.3	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	2.4 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.10

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.02

Under 2.51.77

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:59 +5’	2.15	3.10	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · US Latina Calcio 1–0–2 Campobasso

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/10/26 Italy Serie C Cup	Campobasso	2-0 HT 1-0	US Latina Calcio
20/03/22 Italy Serie C Group C	Campobasso	2-0 HT 1-0	US Latina Calcio
14/11/21 Italy Serie C Group C	US Latina Calcio	4-1 HT 2-0	Campobasso

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spezia	13	11	2	0	25	6	35
2	Ravenna	13	9	2	2	25	8	29
3	Grosseto	13	6	5	2	26	18	23
4	Pescara	13	6	4	3	18	14	22
5	Torres	13	6	4	3	15	12	22
6	AC Reggiana	13	6	2	5	19	15	20
7	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	13	5	5	3	17	14	20
8	Livorno	13	5	5	3	18	17	20
9	Campobasso	13	5	4	4	19	21	19
10	Atalanta U23	13	6	0	7	18	21	18
11	Perugia	13	5	2	6	18	21	17
12	ASD Pineto Calcio	13	4	5	4	11	13	17
13	FC Vado	13	4	4	5	15	16	16
14	US Latina Calcio	13	3	6	4	12	14	15
15	Forli	13	3	6	4	17	18	15
16	US Pianese	13	2	7	4	10	13	13
17	Sambenedettese	13	2	4	7	17	22	10
18	AS Ostia Mare	13	2	3	8	10	19	9
19	Gubbio	13	2	2	9	10	22	8
20	Vis Pesaro	13	1	2	10	11	27	5

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	US Latina Calcio	Campobasso
Torres	0-2 L	1-1 D
Atalanta U23	2-0 W	2-1 W
Sambenedettese	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Campobasso (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Latina Calcio

LDLDDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Torres Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
01/11	US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-1	9	5	D
24/10	Spezia Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
18/10	Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-0	9	5	W
14/10	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	2-0	6	7	W
11/10	Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-1	4	1	D
04/10	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-1	6	4	D
20/09	AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-1	3	1	L
16/09	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
12/09	Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-3	3	5	L

Campobasso

WDDWDLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Livorno Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-1	5	3	D
01/11	Forli Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
24/10	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
18/10	Perugia Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-5	4	6	L
11/10	Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B	0-2	1-3	4	2	L
04/10	Torres Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
26/09	Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
20/09	ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	2-2	9	3	D
16/09	Grosseto Italy Serie C Group B	0-2	2-2	8	4	D
12/09	FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Latina Calcio vs Campobasso?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Latina Calcio win (42%). Probabilities: US Latina Calcio 42%, draw 29%, Campobasso 29%.

How many goals are expected in US Latina Calcio vs Campobasso?

The model expects 2.45 goals (US Latina Calcio 1.36 · Campobasso 1.09), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in US Latina Calcio vs Campobasso?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.