Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 15/11, 12:30

Prediction: Giugliano vs AC Savoia 1908

Team pages: Giugliano · AC Savoia 1908

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Giugliano1.48

AC Savoia 19081.22

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Giugliano Draw AC Savoia 1908

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Giugliano 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWLWLLWLWW

AC Savoia 1908 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLDWLDDL

Head-to-head

Giugliano 0–3 AC Savoia 1908 (3 last)

AC Savoia 19082-0Giugliano
Giugliano0-3AC Savoia 1908
AC Savoia 19081-0Giugliano

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giugliano 1496 · AC Savoia 1908 1484

	Giugliano	Draw	AC Savoia 1908
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	42%	28%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AC Savoia 1908: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Giugliano	AC Savoia 1908
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2	0.9 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 2.6	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:00 +10’	2.15	3.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Giugliano 0–0–3 AC Savoia 1908

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/21 Italy Serie D	AC Savoia 1908	2-0 HT 0-0	Giugliano
06/01/21 Italy Serie D	Giugliano	0-3	AC Savoia 1908
24/11/19 Italy Serie D	AC Savoia 1908	1-0	Giugliano

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	13	10	2	1	35	18	32
2	Bari	13	6	5	2	16	9	23
3	Catania	13	7	1	5	26	13	22
4	Scafatese	13	5	6	2	22	17	21
5	Audace Cerignola	13	6	2	5	20	15	20
6	Monopoli	13	5	5	3	13	9	20
7	Inter Milan U23	13	6	2	5	22	20	20
8	Casertana	13	5	5	3	17	15	20
9	Sorrento Calcio	13	6	2	5	16	15	20
10	AZ Picerno ASD	13	6	1	6	23	20	19
11	Cavese	13	4	4	5	23	22	16
12	Team Altamura	13	4	4	5	13	19	16
13	Giugliano	13	5	1	7	17	29	16
14	Salernitana	13	3	6	4	15	17	15
15	Barletta	13	3	6	4	14	16	15
16	Foggia	13	4	3	6	13	16	15
17	Casarano	13	4	3	6	15	21	15
18	AC Savoia 1908	13	2	6	5	14	21	12
19	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	10	23	10
20	Crotone	13	1	4	8	12	21	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Giugliano	AC Savoia 1908
Crotone	1-0 W	1-1 D
Foggia	3-1 W	0-0 D
Inter Milan U23	0-4 L	2-1 W
Salernitana	0-1 L	1-1 D
Cosenza	5-2 W	1-1 D
Audace Cerignola	0-4 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Giugliano (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giugliano

LWLWLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Crotone Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
31/10	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
25/10	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-3	0-6	5	2	L
19/10	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
13/10	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-4	4	4	L
10/10	Bari Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
03/10	Barletta Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
19/09	Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
15/09	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	2-1	5-2	1	7	W
11/09	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-4	4	6	L

AC Savoia 1908

DDDLDWLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
01/11	Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
24/10	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
18/10	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-3	0-4	4	3	L
10/10	Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
03/10	Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/09	Cavese Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	2-4	6	2	L
19/09	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-1	9	2	D
15/09	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
12/09	Crotone Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giugliano vs AC Savoia 1908?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Giugliano win (42%). Probabilities: Giugliano 42%, draw 28%, AC Savoia 1908 30%.

How many goals are expected in Giugliano vs AC Savoia 1908?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Giugliano 1.48 · AC Savoia 1908 1.22), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Giugliano vs AC Savoia 1908?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.