Football · Tunisia League 1 · 22/08, 17:30
Prediction: US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam Lif
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.54Total
US Ben Guerdane0.98
CS Hammam Lif0.56
1X2
US Ben Guerdane
Draw
CS Hammam Lif
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 57%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
US Ben Guerdane
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
CS Hammam Lif
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
US Ben Guerdane
3–1–2
CS Hammam Lif
(6 last)
- CS Hammam Lif0-0US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane1-2CS Hammam Lif
- CS Hammam Lif1-2US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane4-2CS Hammam Lif
- CS Hammam Lif1-0US Ben Guerdane
- US Ben Guerdane1-0CS Hammam Lif
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · US Ben Guerdane 1478 · CS Hammam Lif 1563
| US Ben Guerdane | Draw | CS Hammam Lif | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 37% | 19% |
| Market | 46% | 32% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.54 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Hammam Lif (rating 1478 vs 1563).
- H2H favours US Ben Guerdane: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| US Ben Guerdane | CS Hammam Lif | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 50/38/13% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · US Ben Guerdane 3–1–2 CS Hammam Lif
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/22 Tunisia League 1 | CS Hammam Lif | 0-0 HT 0-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 14/11/21 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 1-2 HT 1-1 | CS Hammam Lif |
| 15/08/20 Tunisia League 1 | CS Hammam Lif | 1-2 HT 1-1 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 03/11/19 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 4-2 HT 3-1 | CS Hammam Lif |
| 26/05/19 Tunisia League 1 | CS Hammam Lif | 1-0 HT 1-0 | US Ben Guerdane |
| 08/12/18 Tunisia League 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 1-0 HT 1-0 | CS Hammam Lif |
Standings · Tunisia League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Progres Sakiet Eddaier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Avenir de La Marsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bizertin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Club Africain | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Hammam Lif | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CS Sfaxien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Hammam Sousse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Metlaoui | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Etoile Sportive Sahel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | ES Zarzis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Esperance de Tunis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | JS Omrane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olympique de Beja | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Stade Tunisien | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Ben Guerdane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Monastir | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
US Ben Guerdane
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Esperance de Tunis Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 08/05 | Stade Tunisien Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | AS Soliman Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 30/04 | JS Kairouanaise Tunisia League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | US Monastir Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/04 | AS Gabes Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/04 | ES Metlaoui Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | CS Msaken Tunisia Cup |
0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 08/03 | Club Africain Tunisia League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 27/02 | JS Omrane Tunisia League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 10 | L |
CS Hammam Lif
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Stade Gabesien Tunisia League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | AS Kasserine Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | ES Hammam Sousse Tunisia League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 01/05 | OC Kerkennah Tunisia League 2 |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 27/04 | SA Menzel Bourguiba Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 22/04 | Tataouine Tunisia League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | AS Megrine Tunisia League 2 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | CS Chebba Tunisia League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 29/03 | AS Agareb Tunisia League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 15/03 | Avenir de La Marsa Club Friendly List |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam Lif?
According to our model, the most likely result is a US Ben Guerdane win (45%). Probabilities: US Ben Guerdane 45%, draw 34%, CS Hammam Lif 21%.
How many goals are expected in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam Lif?
The model expects 1.54 goals (US Ben Guerdane 0.98 · CS Hammam Lif 0.56), with a 56% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in US Ben Guerdane vs CS Hammam Lif?
The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.