Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 16/08, 21:00

Prediction: Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana

Team pages: Cariari Pococi · Santa Ana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Cariari Pococi1.74

Santa Ana1.37

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Cariari Pococi Draw Santa Ana

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cariari Pococi 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLDDLLDW

Santa Ana 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLWLWWW

Head-to-head

Cariari Pococi 1–3–2 Santa Ana (6 last)

Santa Ana1-1Cariari Pococi
Cariari Pococi4-1Santa Ana
Cariari Pococi1-1Santa Ana
Santa Ana2-2Cariari Pococi
Santa Ana2-0Cariari Pococi
Cariari Pococi1-2Santa Ana

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cariari Pococi 1493 · Santa Ana 1513

	Cariari Pococi	Draw	Santa Ana
Our model	45%	25%	29%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Santa Ana: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cariari Pococi	Santa Ana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.7 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +9’	2.00	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cariari Pococi 1–3–2 Santa Ana

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	1-1 HT 0-0	Cariari Pococi
18/01/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	4-1 HT 1-1	Santa Ana
08/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	1-1 HT 0-1	Santa Ana
26/08/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	2-2 HT 1-1	Cariari Pococi
20/03/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Santa Ana	2-0 HT 1-0	Cariari Pococi
07/02/24 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	1-2 HT 1-1	Santa Ana

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2	Guadalupe FC	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
3	Cariari Pococi	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	AD Carmelita	3	0	2	1	5	6	2
5	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
6	CS Uruguay de Coronado	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
6	Futbol Consultants Desamparados	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
8	FC Aserri	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cariari Pococi	Santa Ana
CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-0 W	5-3 W
FC Aserri	2-2 D	1-0 W
Futbol Consultants Desamparados	0-1 L	1-2 L
Pitbulls Santa Barbara	2-2 D	1-2 L
Escorpiones de Belen FC	1-4 L	1-3 L
AD Carmelita	2-1 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Santa Ana (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cariari Pococi

DDWLDDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/04	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
05/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
29/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
26/03	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
19/03	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-2	0	4	D
17/03	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	1-4	1	6	L
12/03	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
10/03	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
04/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

Santa Ana

DWLDLWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	3-2	9	6	W
01/08	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-0	10	3	W
27/03	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	2-2	3-2	7	5	W
22/03	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	2	5	L
15/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	4-2	5-3	6	6	W
13/03	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
10/03	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	10	8	D
28/02	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-3	1-3	1	4	L
25/02	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-1	9	5	W
13/02	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cariari Pococi win (45%). Probabilities: Cariari Pococi 45%, draw 26%, Santa Ana 29%.

How many goals are expected in Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Cariari Pococi 1.74 · Santa Ana 1.37), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cariari Pococi vs Santa Ana?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.