Football · Costa Rica Segunda · 13/08, 21:00

Prediction: Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Team pages: Cariari Pococi · Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Cariari Pococi1.63

Pitbulls Santa Barbara1.13

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Cariari Pococi Draw Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cariari Pococi 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLDDLLDW

Pitbulls Santa Barbara 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWLDDWLLLD

Head-to-head

Cariari Pococi 0–2–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara (3 last)

Cariari Pococi2-2Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Pitbulls Santa Barbara4-1Cariari Pococi
Pitbulls Santa Barbara1-1Cariari Pococi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cariari Pococi 1480 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1481

	Cariari Pococi	Draw	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	48%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cariari Pococi	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	1.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.4	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.3	4.1 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.40

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 11:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80
X	3.40 → 3.50▲	Pinn 3.60 ★
2	3.20 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:09 +3’	1.95	3.40	3.20
08:09 +15’	1.83▼	3.50▲	3.50▲
09:31 +6’	1.85▲	3.40▼	3.50
10:55 +6’	1.80▼	3.50▲	3.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:37	1.80	3.52	3.49
11:01	1.78▼	3.60▲	3.48▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cariari Pococi 0–2–1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/03/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Cariari Pococi	2-2 HT 0-1	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
13/02/26 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	4-1 HT 1-0	Cariari Pococi
29/10/25 Costa Rica Segunda	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	1-1 HT 0-1	Cariari Pococi

Standings · Costa Rica Segunda · Liga de Ascenso, Apertura 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Santa Ana	2	2	0	0	4	2	6
2	Guadalupe FC	2	1	1	0	4	3	4
3	Cariari Pococi	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	Pitbulls Santa Barbara	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
5	AD Carmelita	2	0	1	1	4	5	1
6	CS Uruguay de Coronado	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
7	Futbol Consultants Desamparados	1	0	0	1	1	2	0
8	FC Aserri	1	0	0	1	0	1	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cariari Pococi	Pitbulls Santa Barbara
CS Uruguay de Coronado	1-0 W	3-1 W
FC Aserri	2-2 D	0-0 D
Futbol Consultants Desamparados	0-1 L	2-3 L
Escorpiones de Belen FC	1-4 L	1-1 D
AD Carmelita	2-1 W	0-1 L
Santa Ana	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pitbulls Santa Barbara (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cariari Pococi

DDWLDDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
12/04	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	8	2	D
05/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-1	11	6	L
29/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	9	L
26/03	Pitbulls Santa Barbara Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-2	7	5	D
19/03	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-2	0	4	D
17/03	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	0-2	1-4	1	6	L
12/03	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
10/03	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
04/03	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

DWLDDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	Guadalupe FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-2	2-2	4	2	D
28/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-2	5	7	L
21/04	Inter San Carlos Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
12/04	Futbol Consultants Desamparados Costa Rica Segunda	1-1	2-3	6	6	L
07/04	CS Uruguay de Coronado Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	3-1	5	1	W
26/03	Cariari Pococi Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
24/03	Escorpiones de Belen FC Costa Rica Segunda	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
16/03	AD Carmelita Costa Rica Segunda	0-1	0-1	11	2	L
13/03	Santa Ana Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
03/03	FC Aserri Costa Rica Segunda	0-0	0-0	11	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cariari Pococi win (48%). Probabilities: Cariari Pococi 48%, draw 27%, Pitbulls Santa Barbara 25%.

How many goals are expected in Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Cariari Pococi 1.63 · Pitbulls Santa Barbara 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.