Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs · 16/08, 15:00

Prediction: JyPK (W) vs EBK (W)

Team pages: JyPK (W) · EBK (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
JyPK (W)1.07
EBK (W)2.1
1X2
18% 21% 61%
JyPK (W) Draw EBK (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
JyPK (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLLLWWDL
EBK (W) 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWWDLDWWL
Head-to-head
JyPK (W) 1–2 EBK (W) (3 last)
  • EBK (W)3-0JyPK (W)
  • JyPK (W)1-3EBK (W)
  • EBK (W)1-2JyPK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JyPK (W) 1476 · EBK (W) 1537
JyPK (W)DrawEBK (W)
Our model17%22%60%
Market19%20%61%
Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EBK (W) (rating 1476 vs 1537).
  • H2H favours EBK (W): 2-0-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JyPK (W)EBK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 22.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.80.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 32.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.3 / 01.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · JyPK (W) 102 EBK (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
27/06/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
EBK (W)3-0
HT 0-0
JyPK (W)
04/10/25
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
JyPK (W)1-3
HT 0-2
EBK (W)
06/09/25
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
EBK (W)1-2
HT 0-1
JyPK (W)

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJyPK (W)EBK (W)
FC Honka (W) 1-0 W 0-1 L
HJS (W) 1-2 L 1-1 D
ONS (W) 1-0 W 2-0 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 2-3 L 4-3 W
FC Lahti (W) 5-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 0 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: EBK (W) (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JyPK (W)

WLWLLLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 PK-35 Vantaa (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
0-3 1-6 L
19/07 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-1 22 D
13/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 12 W
02/07 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 5-1 30 W
27/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 10 L
13/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-3 32 L
06/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-2 42 L
27/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 21 W
23/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 2-3 51 L
17/05 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 5-1 62 W

EBK (W)

WWWWDLDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 FC Honka (W)
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
0-0 0-1 42 L
25/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 4-3 30 W
18/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 140 W
11/07 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-1 83 D
08/07 HPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
0-2 0-4 22 L
03/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 32 D
01/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Cup Women
1-1 4-1 73 W
27/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 50 W
16/06 EPS (W)
Finland Cup Women
2-0 4-1 70 W
13/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-0 62 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JyPK (W) vs EBK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an EBK (W) win (61%). Probabilities: JyPK (W) 18%, draw 21%, EBK (W) 61%.

How many goals are expected in JyPK (W) vs EBK (W)?

The model expects 3.17 goals (JyPK (W) 1.07 · EBK (W) 2.1), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in JyPK (W) vs EBK (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.