Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 26/09, 15:00

Prediction: EBK (W) vs JyPK (W)

Team pages: EBK (W) · JyPK (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.87Total
EBK (W)2.94
JyPK (W)0.94
1X2
80% 12% 8%
EBK (W) Draw JyPK (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
EBK (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWLWWDDWWD
JyPK (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LWLWLLLWWD
Head-to-head
EBK (W) 2–1–1 JyPK (W) (4 last)
  • JyPK (W)1-1EBK (W)
  • EBK (W)3-0JyPK (W)
  • JyPK (W)1-3EBK (W)
  • EBK (W)1-2JyPK (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK (W) 1531 · JyPK (W) 1408
EBK (W)DrawJyPK (W)
Our model77%14%8%
Market83%10%7%
Estimated total (ours) 3.87 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours EBK (W) (rating 1531 vs 1408).
  • H2H favours EBK (W): 2-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBK (W)JyPK (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 11.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.60.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.41.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.11 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK (W) 2–1–1 JyPK (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
16/08/26
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs
JyPK (W)1-1
HT 1-0
EBK (W)
27/06/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
EBK (W)3-0
HT 0-0
JyPK (W)
04/10/25
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
JyPK (W)1-3
HT 0-2
EBK (W)
06/09/25
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women
EBK (W)1-2
HT 0-1
JyPK (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEBK (W)JyPK (W)
FC Honka (W) 1-1 D 1-0 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 4-3 W 2-3 L
FC Lahti (W) 1-0 W 5-1 W
HJS (W) 1-1 D 1-2 L
ONS (W) 2-0 W 1-0 W
TPS (W) 0-2 L 5-1 W
HJK II (W) 4-0 W 1-1 D
KTP (W) 4-1 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 5 W 2 D 1 L 4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: EBK (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK (W)

WWLWWDDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
20/09 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-1 32 D
25/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 4-3 30 W
18/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 –– W
11/07 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-1 83 D
03/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 32 D
27/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 50 W
13/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-0 62 W
05/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-2 44 L
31/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-0 35 W
23/05 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 4-1 55 W

JyPK (W)

LWLWLLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-1 –– D
13/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 –– W
02/07 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-1 5-1 30 W
27/06 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-3 10 L
13/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-3 32 L
06/06 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-2 42 L
27/05 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 21 W
23/05 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 2-3 51 L
17/05 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 5-1 62 W
10/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-3 1-5 40 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK (W) vs JyPK (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a EBK (W) win (80%). Probabilities: EBK (W) 80%, draw 12%, JyPK (W) 8%.

How many goals are expected in EBK (W) vs JyPK (W)?

The model expects 3.87 goals (EBK (W) 2.94 · JyPK (W) 0.94), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK (W) vs JyPK (W)?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.