Football · Finland Ykkonen Women · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: EBK (W) vs HJS (W)

Team pages: EBK (W) · HJS (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
EBK (W)1.58
HJS (W)1.64
1X2
37% 24% 39%
EBK (W) Draw HJS (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
EBK (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WLWWDDWWDW
HJS (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWLLDDDW
Head-to-head
EBK (W) 0–1–1 HJS (W) (2 last)
  • HJS (W)1-0EBK (W)
  • EBK (W)1-1HJS (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · EBK (W) 1509 · HJS (W) 1518
EBK (W)DrawHJS (W)
Our model36%25%39%
Market38%22%40%
Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

EBK (W)HJS (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.1 / 1.12 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 4.41.4 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 02.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · EBK (W) 0–1–1 HJS (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
11/09/26
Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women Play-Offs
HJS (W)1-0
HT 1-0
EBK (W)
11/07/26
Finland Ykkonen Women
EBK (W)1-1
HT 1-0
HJS (W)

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEBK (W)HJS (W)
JyPK (W) 3-2 W 2-1 W
FC Honka (W) 1-1 D 0-1 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa (W) 4-3 W 1-2 L
FC Lahti (W) 1-0 W 2-2 D
ONS (W) 2-0 W 0-0 D
TPS (W) 0-2 L 2-3 L
HJK II (W) 4-0 W 5-2 W
Record vs common 5 W 1 D 1 L 2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: EBK (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

EBK (W)

WLWWDDWWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 3-2 53 W
20/09 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 1-1 32 D
25/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-2 4-3 30 W
18/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 1-0 –– W
11/07 HJS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 1-1 83 D
03/07 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 32 D
27/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 3-0 50 W
13/06 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 2-0 62 W
05/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-2 44 L
31/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-0 4-0 35 W

HJS (W)

WLWWLLDDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-1 5-2 23 W
19/07 ONS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-0 0-0 103 D
11/07 EBK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 1-1 33 D
07/07 FC Lahti (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-2 –– D
28/06 TPS (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
1-1 2-3 24 L
14/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-2 1-2 91 L
06/06 JyPK (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 2-1 32 W
02/06 KTP (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
3-0 4-0 23 W
23/05 FC Honka (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
0-1 0-1 23 L
17/05 HJK II (W)
Finland Ykkonen Women
2-0 3-2 21 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in EBK (W) vs HJS (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HJS (W) win (39%). Probabilities: EBK (W) 37%, draw 24%, HJS (W) 39%.

How many goals are expected in EBK (W) vs HJS (W)?

The model expects 3.23 goals (EBK (W) 1.58 · HJS (W) 1.64), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in EBK (W) vs HJS (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.