Football · Costa Rica Primera Division Women · 06/09, 03:00
Prediction: Municipal Pococi (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Team pages: Municipal Pococi (W) · Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.86Total
Municipal Pococi (W)0.93
Deportivo Saprissa (W)2.93
1X2
Municipal Pococi (W)
Draw
Deportivo Saprissa (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Municipal Pococi (W)
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Saprissa (W)
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Municipal Pococi (W)
0–6
Deportivo Saprissa (W)
(6 last)
- Municipal Pococi (W)0-2Deportivo Saprissa (W)
- Deportivo Saprissa (W)3-2Municipal Pococi (W)
- Deportivo Saprissa (W)6-2Municipal Pococi (W)
- Municipal Pococi (W)0-2Deportivo Saprissa (W)
- Municipal Pococi (W)0-2Deportivo Saprissa (W)
- Deportivo Saprissa (W)4-2Municipal Pococi (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Municipal Pococi (W) 1445 · Deportivo Saprissa (W) 1586
| Municipal Pococi (W) | Draw | Deportivo Saprissa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| Market | 4% | 8% | 88% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.86 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Saprissa (W) (rating 1445 vs 1586).
- H2H favours Deportivo Saprissa (W): 6-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Municipal Pococi (W) | Deportivo Saprissa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.8 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 2.7 | 1.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 1.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Municipal Pococi (W) 0–0–6 Deportivo Saprissa (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Municipal Pococi (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) |
| 07/03/26 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Deportivo Saprissa (W) | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Municipal Pococi (W) |
| 12/10/25 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Deportivo Saprissa (W) | 6-2 HT 4-1 | Municipal Pococi (W) |
| 23/08/25 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Municipal Pococi (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) |
| 03/11/24 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Municipal Pococi (W) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) |
| 09/09/24 Costa Rica Primera Division Women | Deportivo Saprissa (W) | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Municipal Pococi (W) |
Standings · Costa Rica Primera Division Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alajuelense (W) | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
| 2 | Sporting San Jose (W) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Dimas Escazu (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 5 | Carrillo FF (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 6 | AD Chorotega (W) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 3 |
| 7 | Moravia (W) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 8 | Cartagines (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Municipal Pococi (W) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Municipal Pococi (W) | Deportivo Saprissa (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting San Jose (W) | 1-7 L | 4-1 W |
| Alajuelense (W) | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| CS Herediano (W) | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| AD Chorotega (W) | 1-1 D | 5-2 W |
| Moravia (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Dimas Escazu (W) | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Saprissa (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Municipal Pococi (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Carrillo FF (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 07/08 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | CS Herediano (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 05/05 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-5 | 0-9 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 29/04 | Deportivo Saprissa (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 29/03 | Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
4-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
Deportivo Saprissa (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Moravia (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 20/08 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 16/08 | AD Chorotega (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-2 | 5-2 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 08/08 | Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 28/06 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Alajuelense (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Dimas Escazu (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/05 | Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Sporting San Jose (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | CS Herediano (W) Costa Rica Primera Division Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Municipal Pococi (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo Saprissa (W) win (83%). Probabilities: Municipal Pococi (W) 6%, draw 11%, Deportivo Saprissa (W) 83%.
How many goals are expected in Municipal Pococi (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)?
The model expects 3.86 goals (Municipal Pococi (W) 0.93 · Deportivo Saprissa (W) 2.93), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Municipal Pococi (W) vs Deportivo Saprissa (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.