Football · Spain Primera Federacion Women · 18/10, 16:00
Prediction: Real Madrid (W) B vs Barcelona II (W)
Team pages: Real Madrid (W) B · Barcelona II (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Real Madrid (W) B1.12
Barcelona II (W)1.55
1X2
Real Madrid (W) B
Draw
Barcelona II (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Real Madrid (W) B
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Barcelona II (W)
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real Madrid (W) B
2–1–1
Barcelona II (W)
(4 last)
- Barcelona II (W)3-0Real Madrid (W) B
- Real Madrid (W) B2-1Barcelona II (W)
- Real Madrid (W) B3-1Barcelona II (W)
- Barcelona II (W)1-1Real Madrid (W) B
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real Madrid (W) B 1479 · Barcelona II (W) 1538
| Real Madrid (W) B | Draw | Barcelona II (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona II (W) (rating 1479 vs 1538).
- H2H favours Real Madrid (W) B: 2-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real Madrid (W) B | Barcelona II (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Madrid (W) B 2–1–1 Barcelona II (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Spain Primera Federacion Women | Barcelona II (W) | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Real Madrid (W) B |
| 27/09/25 Spain Primera Federacion Women | Real Madrid (W) B | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Barcelona II (W) |
| 27/04/25 Spain Primera Federacion Women | Real Madrid (W) B | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Barcelona II (W) |
| 20/12/24 Spain Primera Federacion Women | Barcelona II (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Real Madrid (W) B |
Standings · Spain Primera Federacion Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Levante UD (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Alhama CF (W) | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid (W) B | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | 9 |
| 4 | Osasuna (W) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 8 |
| 5 | Fundacion Albacete (W) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | CFF Caceres Women | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao B (W) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Sport Extremadura (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Villarreal (W) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Barcelona II (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | UD Tacuense (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Tenerife B (W) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad II (W) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Real Madrid (W) B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real Madrid (W) B | Barcelona II (W) |
|---|---|---|
| CFF Caceres Women | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Alhama CF (W) | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Osasuna (W) | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| Fundacion Albacete (W) | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barcelona II (W) (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real Madrid (W) B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | CFF Caceres Women Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Tenerife B (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Osasuna (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
1-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Villarreal (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Barcelona II (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/04 | Real Oviedo (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | Real Betis (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | Fundacion Albacete (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/03 | Tenerife B (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Barcelona II (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Osasuna (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 20/09 | Atletico Madrid (W) B Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | UD Tacuense (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 02/05 | Fundacion Albacete (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Real Madrid (W) B Spain Primera Federacion Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Osasuna (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 28/03 | Valencia (W) Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 22/03 | CFF Caceres Women Spain Primera Federacion Women |
1-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 14/03 | Atletico Madrid (W) B Spain Primera Federacion Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real Madrid (W) B vs Barcelona II (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Barcelona II (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Real Madrid (W) B 27%, draw 27%, Barcelona II (W) 46%.
How many goals are expected in Real Madrid (W) B vs Barcelona II (W)?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Real Madrid (W) B 1.12 · Barcelona II (W) 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Real Madrid (W) B vs Barcelona II (W)?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.