Football · UAE Division 1 · 04/09, 17:00
Prediction: Al Urooba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra
Team pages: Al Urooba
See it on the live radar ↗
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Al Urooba1.91
Al Jazira Al Hamra0.89
1X2
Al Urooba
Draw
Al Jazira Al Hamra
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Urooba
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Al Jazira Al Hamra
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Urooba
5–1
Al Jazira Al Hamra
(6 last)
- Al Jazira Al Hamra0-2Al Urooba
- Al Urooba3-1Al Jazira Al Hamra
- Al Jazira Al Hamra0-2Al Urooba
- Al Urooba3-1Al Jazira Al Hamra
- Al Urooba2-1Al Jazira Al Hamra
- Al Jazira Al Hamra5-1Al Urooba
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Urooba 1577 · Al Jazira Al Hamra 1441
| Al Urooba | Draw | Al Jazira Al Hamra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 24% | 16% |
| Market | 61% | 23% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Urooba (rating 1577 vs 1441).
- H2H favours Al Urooba: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Urooba | Al Jazira Al Hamra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.4 | 1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/44/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Urooba 5–0–1 Al Jazira Al Hamra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 UAE Division 1 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Urooba |
| 23/11/25 UAE Division 1 | Al Urooba | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Al Jazira Al Hamra |
| 19/05/24 UAE Division 1 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Al Urooba |
| 06/01/24 UAE Division 1 | Al Urooba | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Al Jazira Al Hamra |
| 04/03/23 UAE Division 1 | Al Urooba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Al Jazira Al Hamra |
| 22/10/22 UAE Division 1 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 5-1 HT 1-0 | Al Urooba |
Standings · UAE Division 1
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Dibba Al Fujairah | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Al Dhaid | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Al Bataeh | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Dubba Al Husun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Forte Virtus FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Al Hamriyah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Fujairah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| 9 | Emirates Club RAK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Urooba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 11 | Al Ittifaq Dubai | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Al Jazira Al Hamra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 13 | Gulf United FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Palm City FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 | Dubai City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Urooba | Al Jazira Al Hamra |
|---|---|---|
| Al Ittifaq Dubai | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Al Dhaid | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Al Fujairah | 1-0 W | 0-6 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Urooba (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Urooba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Al Dhaid UAE Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/05 | Masfut UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Gulf United FC UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Dubai United UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Emirates Club RAK UAE Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Dubba Al Husun UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/04 | Hatta Dubai UAE Division 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Al Fujairah UAE Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | Al Jazira Al Hamra UAE Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
Al Jazira Al Hamra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Al Bataeh UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Fujairah UAE Division 1 |
– | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Al Fujairah UAE Division 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Majd FC UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Dubai City UAE Division 1 |
1-2 | 4-3 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Al Dhaid UAE Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 24/04 | Al Hamriyah UAE Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Al Ittifaq Dubai UAE Division 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 12 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Al Urooba UAE Division 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/04 | Al Arabi Umm Al Quwain UAE Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Urooba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Urooba win (60%). Probabilities: Al Urooba 60%, draw 23%, Al Jazira Al Hamra 16%.
How many goals are expected in Al Urooba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Al Urooba 1.91 · Al Jazira Al Hamra 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Urooba vs Al Jazira Al Hamra?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.