Football · Egypt Division 2 · 16/10, 14:30

Prediction: Baladiyet El Mahallah vs FC Masar

Team pages: Baladiyet El Mahallah · FC Masar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.04Total

Baladiyet El Mahallah0.8

FC Masar1.23

1X2

23% 31% 46%

Baladiyet El Mahallah Draw FC Masar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Baladiyet El Mahallah 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLDWL

FC Masar 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWDWLW

Head-to-head

Baladiyet El Mahallah 0–2 FC Masar (2 last)

FC Masar2-1Baladiyet El Mahallah
Baladiyet El Mahallah0-1FC Masar

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Baladiyet El Mahallah 1445 · FC Masar 1558

	Baladiyet El Mahallah	Draw	FC Masar
Our model	23%	32%	45%
Market	24%	30%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Masar (rating 1445 vs 1558).
H2H favours FC Masar: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Baladiyet El Mahallah	FC Masar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1	1.9 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0 / 0.5	0.8 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	63/38/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4	2.1 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.75

X3.00

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 2.26 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +2’	3.75	3.00	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
04:26 +38’	3.35	2.86	2.26

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Baladiyet El Mahallah 0–0–2 FC Masar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/03/26 Egypt Division 2	FC Masar	2-1 HT 1-0	Baladiyet El Mahallah
23/10/25 Egypt Division 2	Baladiyet El Mahallah	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Masar

Standings · Egypt Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Masar	8	6	1	1	16	6	19
2	Haras El Hedoud	8	5	3	0	11	3	18
3	Kahraba Ismailia	8	5	2	1	15	6	17
4	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	8	5	2	1	10	4	17
5	Pharco FC	8	5	1	2	11	6	16
6	WE SC	8	5	0	3	11	6	15
7	Al Nasr Cairo	8	3	4	1	11	6	13
8	Tersana SC	8	3	4	1	8	7	13
9	El Mansoura	8	4	2	2	9	7	11
10	El Seka El Hadid	8	3	2	3	12	14	11
11	El Entag El Harby	8	2	4	2	13	10	10
12	Ismaily SC	8	2	3	3	11	14	9
13	El Daklyeh	8	2	3	3	6	10	9
14	Baladiyet El Mahallah	8	2	2	4	7	8	8
15	Tanta	8	2	2	4	5	9	8
16	Team FC Cairo	8	2	1	5	7	13	7
17	Dayrout	8	1	2	5	3	15	5
18	Proxy SC	8	1	1	6	3	11	4
19	La Viena FC	8	0	3	5	4	11	3
20	Delta United	8	0	2	6	5	12	2

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Baladiyet El Mahallah	FC Masar
El Daklyeh	0-0 D	3-1 W
El Mansoura	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Baladiyet El Mahallah

LLLDWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
02/10	Team FC Cairo Egypt Division 2	0-0	3-1	2	4	W
25/09	Tersana SC Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	6	D
18/09	Kahraba Ismailia Egypt Division 2	0-1	0-1	8	7	L
10/09	Pharco FC Egypt Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
04/09	Delta United Egypt Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
28/08	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
20/08	El Mansoura Egypt Division 2	–	1-2	–	–	L
14/05	Asyut Petroleum Egypt Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
07/05	Maleyat Kafr El Zayat Egypt Division 2	–	0-1	–	–	L

FC Masar

LWWWWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	El Daklyeh Egypt Division 2	1-0	3-1	3	6	W
01/10	El Mansoura Egypt Division 2	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
24/09	Proxy SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-0	8	0	W
18/09	La Viena FC Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
10/09	El Seka El Hadid Egypt Division 2	1-1	3-1	7	1	W
04/09	Tanta Egypt Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
28/08	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	0-0	4-0	6	1	W
21/08	Ismaily SC Egypt Division 2	–	3-1	–	–	W
14/05	WE SC Egypt Division 2	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
07/05	Dayrout Egypt Division 2	–	0-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Baladiyet El Mahallah vs FC Masar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Masar win (46%). Probabilities: Baladiyet El Mahallah 23%, draw 31%, FC Masar 46%.

How many goals are expected in Baladiyet El Mahallah vs FC Masar?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Baladiyet El Mahallah 0.8 · FC Masar 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Baladiyet El Mahallah vs FC Masar?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.