Football · Saudi Arabia Division 1 · 19/10, 17:05
Prediction: Al Zulfi vs Al-Ula
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
Al Zulfi0.84
Al-Ula1.44
1X2
Al Zulfi
Draw
Al-Ula
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Zulfi
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Al-Ula
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Zulfi
0–1–1
Al-Ula
(2 last)
- Al-Ula4-2Al Zulfi
- Al Zulfi0-0Al-Ula
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Al Zulfi 1516 · Al-Ula 1615
| Al Zulfi | Draw | Al-Ula | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 29% | 50% |
| Market | 22% | 26% | 51% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al-Ula (rating 1516 vs 1615).
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Zulfi | Al-Ula | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.9 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 2.6 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Zulfi 0–1–1 Al-Ula
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al-Ula | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Al Zulfi |
| 17/01/26 Saudi Arabia Division 1 | Al Zulfi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Al-Ula |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Division 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Ula | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Al Zulfi | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Jabalain | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Al Wehda Mecca | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 11 |
| 5 | Al-Anwar | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Al Najma | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Al Taee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
| 9 | Damac FC | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 9 |
| 10 | Al Adalh | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Jeddah Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 12 | Al-Saqer FC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Al Okhdood | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 7 |
| 14 | Al Orubah | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 15 | Al Jandal | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Hajer | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Jeel | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Al-Bukayriyah FC | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Zulfi | Al-Ula |
|---|---|---|
| Al Raed | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Al Orubah | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Jeddah Club | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Zulfi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Al-Bukayriyah FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Al Taee Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | Hajer Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/09 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/08 | Al Wehda Mecca Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 21/08 | Al Jeel Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Al-Ula Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 03/05 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Al-Ula
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/09 | Jeddah Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 08/09 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Al Raed Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Al-Anwar Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Al Jabalain Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 18/05 | Al Orubah Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 14/05 | Al Zulfi Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Al Jubail Club Saudi Arabia Division 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Zulfi vs Al-Ula?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al-Ula win (51%). Probabilities: Al Zulfi 22%, draw 28%, Al-Ula 51%.
How many goals are expected in Al Zulfi vs Al-Ula?
The model expects 2.28 goals (Al Zulfi 0.84 · Al-Ula 1.44), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Zulfi vs Al-Ula?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.