Football · Austria Landesliga · 31/07, 19:00

Prediction: ATSV Wolfsberg vs Wolfsberger AC

Team pages: Wolfsberger AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.93Total

ATSV Wolfsberg1.87

Wolfsberger AC2.05

1X2

36% 22% 43%

ATSV Wolfsberg Draw Wolfsberger AC

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

ATSV Wolfsberg 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLDLDW

Wolfsberger AC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

ATSV Wolfsberg 0–2 Wolfsberger AC (2 last)

ATSV Wolfsberg0-6Wolfsberger AC
ATSV Wolfsberg1-4Wolfsberger AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ATSV Wolfsberg 1519 · Wolfsberger AC 1645

	ATSV Wolfsberg	Draw	Wolfsberger AC
Our model	35%	22%	42%
Market	36%	21%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.93 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.9

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsberger AC (rating 1519 vs 1645).
H2H favours Wolfsberger AC: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ATSV Wolfsberg	Wolfsberger AC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.3	5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	2.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.4	2.1 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	1.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X4.20

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 2.4 · xG: 5.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	2.15 → 2.10▼	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
01:07 +3’	2.50	4.00	2.15
02:09 +1’	2.50	4.20▲	2.10▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ATSV Wolfsberg 0–0–2 Wolfsberger AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/09/19 Austria Cup	ATSV Wolfsberg	0-6 HT 0-2	Wolfsberger AC
01/07/16 Club Friendly List	ATSV Wolfsberg	1-4 HT 0-2	Wolfsberger AC

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

ATSV Wolfsberg

DLWWWLDLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	ASC St Paul Austria Amateur Cup	3-0	6-1	7	0	W
04/07	St.Michael/Lavanttal Europe Friendlies	2-0	2-2	2	0	D
03/06	Lendorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
29/05	SAK Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/05	Austria Klagenfurt II Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-5	3	1	L
16/05	St Veit SC Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	5	4	W
13/05	TSV Grafenstein Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-3	7	2	W
08/05	Nussdorf Austria Landesliga	3-1	4-2	–	–	W
03/05	SVG Bleiburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
30/04	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-3	8	8	D

Wolfsberger AC

LWWWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	FC Lauterach Austria Cup	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
20/07	Atus Velden Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-0	15	2	W
17/07	SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies	3-0	6-1	4	1	W
13/07	Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
10/07	FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies	2-2	3-3	3	4	D
03/07	Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies	5-2	8-2	13	1	W
30/06	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
27/06	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
20/06	WSG Radenthein Club Friendly List	8-0	18-0	–	–	W
19/05	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs	0-0	1-2	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ATSV Wolfsberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wolfsberger AC win (43%). Probabilities: ATSV Wolfsberg 36%, draw 22%, Wolfsberger AC 43%.

How many goals are expected in ATSV Wolfsberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model expects 3.93 goals (ATSV Wolfsberg 1.87 · Wolfsberger AC 2.05), with a 59% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ATSV Wolfsberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.