Football · Dominica Premier League · 31/07, 01:00
Prediction: Dublanc FC vs Sagicor South East FC
Team pages: Dublanc FC · Sagicor South East FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.61Total
Dublanc FC3.3
Sagicor South East FC1.3
1X2
Dublanc FC
Draw
Sagicor South East FC
Markets
Over 4.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
Dublanc FC
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Sagicor South East FC
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dublanc FC
4–1–1
Sagicor South East FC
(6 last)
- Sagicor South East FC2-3Dublanc FC
- Sagicor South East FC1-1Dublanc FC
- Dublanc FC4-0Sagicor South East FC
- Dublanc FC7-0Sagicor South East FC
- Sagicor South East FC3-5Dublanc FC
- Sagicor South East FC3-0Dublanc FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dublanc FC 1652 · Sagicor South East FC 1566
| Dublanc FC | Draw | Sagicor South East FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 14% | 11% |
| Market | 82% | 12% | 6% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.61 goals · Bet365 line 4.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dublanc FC (rating 1652 vs 1566).
- H2H favours Dublanc FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dublanc FC | Sagicor South East FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5 / 1 | 3.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.9 | 2.9 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dublanc FC 4–1–1 Sagicor South East FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Dominica Premier League | Sagicor South East FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Dublanc FC |
| 22/06/25 Dominica Premier League | Sagicor South East FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Dublanc FC |
| 19/05/25 Dominica Premier League | Dublanc FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Sagicor South East FC |
| 30/09/24 Dominica Premier League | Dublanc FC | 7-0 HT 2-0 | Sagicor South East FC |
| 25/08/23 Dominica Premier League | Sagicor South East FC | 3-5 HT 1-4 | Dublanc FC |
| 09/04/23 Dominica Premier League | Sagicor South East FC | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Dublanc FC |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dublanc FC | Sagicor South East FC |
|---|---|---|
| Pointe Michel FC | 12-3 W | 5-2 W |
| Mahaut Soca Strikers | 3-1 W | 0-4 L |
| Middleham United FC | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| We United FC | 3-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Bath Estate | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Portsmouth Bombers | 4-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Promex Harlem United SC | 5-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 7 W 0 D 0 L | 6 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dublanc FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
7-0 | 12-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Sagicor South East FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/11 | We United FC Dominica President Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/10 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
4-1 | 10-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
Sagicor South East FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Mighty Avengers Dominica Premier League |
1-3 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 10/07 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/07 | Portsmouth Bombers Dominica Premier League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 20/06 | Pointe Michel FC Dominica Premier League |
3-1 | 5-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | We United FC Dominica Premier League |
2-2 | 6-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Middleham United FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 01/06 | Bath Estate Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Promex Harlem United SC Dominica Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Mahaut Soca Strikers Dominica Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Dublanc FC Dominica Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dublanc FC vs Sagicor South East FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dublanc FC win (79%). Probabilities: Dublanc FC 79%, draw 13%, Sagicor South East FC 8%.
How many goals are expected in Dublanc FC vs Sagicor South East FC?
The model expects 4.61 goals (Dublanc FC 3.3 · Sagicor South East FC 1.3), with a 50% chance of over 4.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Dublanc FC vs Sagicor South East FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.