Football · Serbia Prva Liga · 13/11, 17:00

Prediction: FK Dubocica vs FK Proleter 023

Team pages: FK Dubocica · FK Proleter 023

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

FK Dubocica1.4

FK Proleter 0231.13

1X2

42% 28% 30%

FK Dubocica Draw FK Proleter 023

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Dubocica 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDDWLWDW

FK Proleter 023 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DDLWWDDWWD

Head-to-head

FK Dubocica 1–0 FK Proleter 023 (1 last)

FK Proleter 0232-3FK Dubocica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Dubocica 1533 · FK Proleter 023 1530

	FK Dubocica	Draw	FK Proleter 023
Our model	42%	29%	29%
Market	43%	27%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 11.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Dubocica	FK Proleter 023
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	2.6 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	5.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.30

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.88

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:02

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
11:07 +55’	2.10	3.30	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Dubocica 1–0–0 FK Proleter 023

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Serbia Prva Liga	FK Proleter 023	2-3 HT 0-0	FK Dubocica

Standings · Serbia Prva Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borac Cacak	17	11	3	3	30	20	36
2	Javor Ivanjica	17	9	7	1	40	20	34
3	FK Backa Topola	17	9	7	1	38	20	34
4	OFK Vrsac	17	9	3	5	21	16	30
5	FK Dubocica	17	7	5	5	18	18	26
6	Smederevo	17	7	4	6	23	23	25
7	FK Napredak	17	7	4	6	16	17	25
8	Spartak Subotica	17	6	5	6	26	29	23
9	FK Proleter 023	17	5	7	5	24	18	22
10	FK Vozdovac	17	5	5	7	15	15	20
11	Loznica	17	4	8	5	20	24	20
12	Metalac Gornji	17	5	4	8	20	26	19
13	Jedinstvo UB	17	5	3	9	21	27	18
14	FK Graficar Beograd	17	5	2	10	25	30	17
15	Teleoptik	17	3	5	9	21	30	14
16	Bor 1919	17	2	2	13	8	33	8

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Dubocica	FK Proleter 023
Loznica	2-1 W	1-0 W
FK Vozdovac	0-0 D	2-1 W
Smederevo	1-0 W	1-1 D
FK Napredak	0-1 L	0-0 D
Spartak Subotica	2-1 W	6-0 W
Jedinstvo UB	0-0 D	3-0 W
Javor Ivanjica	1-1 D	2-4 L
FK Backa Topola	0-0 D	1-1 D
Teleoptik	2-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Proleter 023 (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Dubocica

LWDDDWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	2-1	6	8	W
02/11	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
23/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
17/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
11/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	2-1	6	8	W
04/10	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
21/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
16/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	2-0	2-0	6	4	W
11/09	Metalac Gornji Serbia Prva Liga	0-3	0-5	3	5	L

FK Proleter 023

DDLWWDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	OFK Vrsac Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
01/11	Loznica Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-0	3	12	W
24/10	FK Vozdovac Serbia Prva Liga	2-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/10	Smederevo Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
11/10	FK Napredak Serbia Prva Liga	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
04/10	Spartak Subotica Serbia Prva Liga	3-0	6-0	4	5	W
28/09	Jedinstvo UB Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	3-0	2	8	W
21/09	Javor Ivanjica Serbia Prva Liga	1-2	2-4	4	3	L
16/09	FK Backa Topola Serbia Prva Liga	1-0	1-1	8	5	D
10/09	Teleoptik Serbia Prva Liga	1-1	1-1	4	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Dubocica vs FK Proleter 023?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Dubocica win (42%). Probabilities: FK Dubocica 42%, draw 28%, FK Proleter 023 30%.

How many goals are expected in FK Dubocica vs FK Proleter 023?

The model expects 2.53 goals (FK Dubocica 1.4 · FK Proleter 023 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Dubocica vs FK Proleter 023?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.