Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 15/10, 20:00
Prediction: Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Riyadh
Team pages: Al Ahli Jeddah · Al-Nassr Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Al Ahli Jeddah1.93
Al-Nassr Riyadh1.56
1X2
Al Ahli Jeddah
Draw
Al-Nassr Riyadh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Ahli Jeddah
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Al-Nassr Riyadh
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Ahli Jeddah
1–2–3
Al-Nassr Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al-Nassr Riyadh2-0Al Ahli Jeddah
- Al Ahli Jeddah3-2Al-Nassr Riyadh
- Al-Nassr Riyadh2-2Al Ahli Jeddah
- Al Ahli Jeddah2-3Al-Nassr Riyadh
- Al-Nassr Riyadh1-1Al Ahli Jeddah
- Al Ahli Jeddah0-1Al-Nassr Riyadh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Al-Nassr Riyadh: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.7 / 1.1 | 2.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.5 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/0/30% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 4.1 / 7.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ahli Jeddah 1–2–3 Al-Nassr Riyadh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
| 02/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
| 23/08/25 Saudi Arabia Super Cup | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
| 13/02/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
| 13/09/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Al Ahli Jeddah |
| 15/03/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ahli Jeddah | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Draih | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh SC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ahli Jeddah | Al-Nassr Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Al Fateh SC | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Al Riyadh | 5-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Al Hilal Riyadh | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Abha | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Al Draih | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ahli Jeddah (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ahli Jeddah
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/09 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/08 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Al-Nassr Riyadh
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/09 | Abha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 14 | 6 | L |
| 28/08 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 25/08 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 21/08 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 15/08 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Damac FC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ahli Jeddah win (46%). Probabilities: Al Ahli Jeddah 46%, draw 24%, Al-Nassr Riyadh 30%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Al Ahli Jeddah 1.93 · Al-Nassr Riyadh 1.56), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.