Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 16/10, 20:00
Prediction: Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh
Team pages: Al Ittihad Jeddah · Al Shabab Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Al Ittihad Jeddah2.18
Al Shabab Riyadh1.1
1X2
Al Ittihad Jeddah
Draw
Al Shabab Riyadh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Ittihad Jeddah
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Al Shabab Riyadh
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Ittihad Jeddah
5–1
Al Shabab Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al Shabab Riyadh3-2Al Ittihad Jeddah
- Al Ittihad Jeddah2-0Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Ittihad Jeddah4-1Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Shabab Riyadh2-3Al Ittihad Jeddah
- Al Ittihad Jeddah3-2Al Shabab Riyadh
- Al Ittihad Jeddah2-1Al Shabab Riyadh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Ittihad Jeddah (rating 1568 vs 1461).
- H2H favours Al Ittihad Jeddah: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Ittihad Jeddah | Al Shabab Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 0/80/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5 | 3.1 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Ittihad Jeddah 5–0–1 Al Shabab Riyadh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Al Ittihad Jeddah |
| 27/12/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 29/11/25 Saudi Arabia Cup | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 20/05/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Shabab Riyadh | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Al Ittihad Jeddah |
| 01/04/25 Saudi Arabia Cup | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
| 22/01/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Al Shabab Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Draih | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh SC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Ittihad Jeddah | Al Shabab Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Al Fayha | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Al Hazem | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Al Kholood | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Ittihad Jeddah (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Ittihad Jeddah
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/09 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/09 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Al Fateh SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/08 | Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 21/08 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 21/05 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 5 | L |
Al Shabab Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 09/09 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Al Hazem Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 25/08 | Al Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/08 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/05 | Al Najma Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Al Ittihad Jeddah win (61%). Probabilities: Al Ittihad Jeddah 61%, draw 22%, Al Shabab Riyadh 17%.
How many goals are expected in Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Al Ittihad Jeddah 2.18 · Al Shabab Riyadh 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Ittihad Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.