Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 16/10, 17:00
Prediction: Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh
Team pages: Al Riyadh · Al Hilal Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Al Riyadh1.46
Al Hilal Riyadh1.87
1X2
Al Riyadh
Draw
Al Hilal Riyadh
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Riyadh
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Al Hilal Riyadh
9-0-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Riyadh
0–2–4
Al Hilal Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al Riyadh1-1Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh2-0Al Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh1-1Al Riyadh
- Al Riyadh0-3Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Riyadh1-3Al Hilal Riyadh
- Al Hilal Riyadh6-1Al Riyadh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Hilal Riyadh (rating 1510 vs 1626).
- H2H favours Al Hilal Riyadh: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Riyadh | Al Hilal Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.8 | 2.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 2.8 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Riyadh 0–2–4 Al Hilal Riyadh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 29/08/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Al Riyadh |
| 14/02/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Al Riyadh |
| 14/09/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 08/03/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Al Hilal Riyadh |
| 15/09/23 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Hilal Riyadh | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Al Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 15 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Draih | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazm | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh SC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Riyadh | Al Hilal Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Al Fayha | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 0-0 D | 5-1 W |
| Al Ahli Jeddah | 0-5 L | 3-0 W |
| Neom SC | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 3-3 D | 2-0 W |
| Al Taawon Buraidah | 1-1 D | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 5 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Hilal Riyadh (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 14/08 | Al Ittifaq Dammam Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Al Okhdood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
Al Hilal Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 6-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/09 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 01/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
5-1 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 14/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 21/05 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Hilal Riyadh win (46%). Probabilities: Al Riyadh 29%, draw 24%, Al Hilal Riyadh 46%.
How many goals are expected in Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Al Riyadh 1.46 · Al Hilal Riyadh 1.87), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Riyadh vs Al Hilal Riyadh?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.