Football · Saudi Arabia Pro League · 06/11, 15:30
Prediction: Al Fateh SC vs Al Riyadh
Team pages: Al Fateh SC · Al Riyadh
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Al Fateh SC1.4
Al Riyadh1.42
1X2
Al Fateh SC
Draw
Al Riyadh
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Al Fateh SC
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Al Riyadh
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Al Fateh SC
2–2–2
Al Riyadh
(6 last)
- Al Riyadh1-0Al Fateh SC
- Al Fateh SC3-1Al Riyadh
- Al Fateh SC2-0Al Riyadh
- Al Riyadh2-2Al Fateh SC
- Al Fateh SC1-2Al Riyadh
- Al Fateh SC2-2Al Riyadh
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Al Riyadh (rating 1435 vs 1492).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Al Fateh SC | Al Riyadh | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.1 | 0.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Al Fateh SC 2–2–2 Al Riyadh
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Al Fateh SC |
| 13/01/26 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Al Riyadh |
| 27/10/25 Saudi Arabia Cup | Al Fateh SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Al Riyadh |
| 23/04/25 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Riyadh | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Al Fateh SC |
| 28/11/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Al Riyadh |
| 02/05/24 Saudi Arabia Pro League | Al Fateh SC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Al Riyadh |
Standings · Saudi Arabia Pro League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal Riyadh | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 9 | 30 |
| 2 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr Riyadh | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 21 |
| 7 | Al Ittifaq Dammam | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Draih | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 19 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Shabab Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 14 |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 25 | 12 |
| 13 | Al Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | 11 |
| 14 | Al Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 10 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly Harmah | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 24 | 10 |
| 16 | Al Fateh SC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon Buraidah | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 5 |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Al Fateh SC | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab Riyadh | 1-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Al Khaleej Saihat | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Al Ahli Jeddah | 0-4 L | 0-5 L |
| Neom SC | 2-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Al Draih | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Al Taawon Buraidah | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Al Riyadh (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Al Fateh SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Al Hilal Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/10 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/10 | Al Hazm Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/10 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/09 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Al Ittihad Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 26/08 | Al Faisaly Harmah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
Al Riyadh
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Al Qadisiya Al Khubar Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 24/10 | Al Taawon Buraidah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 20/10 | Al Draih Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 11/10 | Al Fayha Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Al Kholood Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 07/09 | Al Khaleej Saihat Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | Al Ahli Jeddah Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Neom SC Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Al Shabab Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 21/08 | Al-Nassr Riyadh Saudi Arabia Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Al Fateh SC vs Al Riyadh?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Al Riyadh win (37%). Probabilities: Al Fateh SC 36%, draw 28%, Al Riyadh 37%.
How many goals are expected in Al Fateh SC vs Al Riyadh?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Al Fateh SC 1.4 · Al Riyadh 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Al Fateh SC vs Al Riyadh?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.