Prediction: Union Magdalena vs Independiente Santa Fe
Team pages: Union Magdalena · Independiente Santa Fe
- Independiente Santa Fe2-0Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena0-1Independiente Santa Fe
- Union Magdalena2-2Independiente Santa Fe
- Independiente Santa Fe0-0Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena0-2Independiente Santa Fe
- Independiente Santa Fe1-0Union Magdalena
| Union Magdalena | Draw | Independiente Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 28% | 44% |
| Market | 28% | 28% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Independiente Santa Fe: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union Magdalena | Independiente Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.1 | 1.2 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.2 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Magdalena 0–2–4 Independiente Santa Fe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 31/03/25 Colombia Primera A | Union Magdalena | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe |
| 20/08/23 Colombia Primera A | Union Magdalena | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Independiente Santa Fe |
| 26/02/23 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 25/09/22 Colombia Primera A | Union Magdalena | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Independiente Santa Fe |
| 04/04/22 Colombia Primera A | Independiente Santa Fe | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Union Magdalena |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union Magdalena
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 7 | W |
Independiente Santa Fe
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Aguilas Doradas Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Caracas Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 28/05 | Penarol Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Platense Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Junior Colombia Primera A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 13/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | America de Cali Colombia Primera A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/05 | Corinthians Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Internacional de Bogota Colombia Primera A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union Magdalena vs Independiente Santa Fe?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Santa Fe win (45%). Probabilities: Union Magdalena 27%, draw 28%, Independiente Santa Fe 45%.
How many goals are expected in Union Magdalena vs Independiente Santa Fe?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Union Magdalena 1.11 · Independiente Santa Fe 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union Magdalena vs Independiente Santa Fe?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.