Football · Georgia Cup · 01/08, 16:30
Prediction: FC Samtredia vs FC Iberia 1999
Team pages: FC Iberia 1999
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.59Total
FC Samtredia1
FC Iberia 19992.6
1X2
FC Samtredia
Draw
FC Iberia 1999
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
FC Samtredia
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FC Iberia 1999
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Samtredia
0–3–3
FC Iberia 1999
(6 last)
- FC Samtredia0-1FC Iberia 1999
- FC Iberia 19993-1FC Samtredia
- FC Samtredia0-3FC Iberia 1999
- FC Iberia 19992-2FC Samtredia
- FC Iberia 19990-0FC Samtredia
- FC Samtredia0-0FC Iberia 1999
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Samtredia 1464 · FC Iberia 1999 1517
| FC Samtredia | Draw | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 12% | 17% | 71% |
| Market | 12% | 18% | 71% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Iberia 1999 (rating 1464 vs 1517).
- H2H favours FC Iberia 1999: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Samtredia | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 60/10/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.4 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Samtredia 0–3–3 FC Iberia 1999
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Samtredia | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Iberia 1999 |
| 19/08/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Iberia 1999 | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FC Samtredia |
| 02/05/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Samtredia | 0-3 HT 0-0 | FC Iberia 1999 |
| 10/03/24 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Iberia 1999 | 2-2 HT 1-1 | FC Samtredia |
| 03/11/23 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Iberia 1999 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Samtredia |
| 26/08/23 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Samtredia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Iberia 1999 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Samtredia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | SFC Shturmi Georgia Cup |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/06 | FC Sioni Bolnisi Georgia First League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | Merani Martvili Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/06 | Kolkheti Poti Georgia First League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | FC Gareji Georgia First League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Telavi Georgia First League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | Odishi 1919 Zugdidi Georgia First League |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 16/05 | SFC Shturmi Georgia First League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Gori Georgia First League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 06/05 | Aragvi Dusheti Georgia First League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
FC Iberia 1999
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | FC Margveti 2006 Georgia Cup |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/07 | Slovan Bratislava UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 14/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/07 | FC Flora Tallinn UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 01/07 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Super Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 27/06 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Super Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 23/06 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 17/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 12/06 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Samtredia vs FC Iberia 1999?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Iberia 1999 win (71%). Probabilities: FC Samtredia 12%, draw 18%, FC Iberia 1999 71%.
How many goals are expected in FC Samtredia vs FC Iberia 1999?
The model expects 3.59 goals (FC Samtredia 1 · FC Iberia 1999 2.6), with a 52% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Samtredia vs FC Iberia 1999?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.