Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 31/07, 20:45

Prediction: Bohemians Dublin vs Galway United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Bohemians Dublin2.16

Galway United0.88

1X2

66% 21% 13%

Bohemians Dublin Draw Galway United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

Bohemians Dublin 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWWDW

Galway United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLWLLWWD

Head-to-head

Bohemians Dublin 4–2 Galway United (6 last)

Galway United2-4Bohemians Dublin
Bohemians Dublin1-0Galway United
Galway United2-0Bohemians Dublin
Bohemians Dublin3-0Galway United
Galway United1-2Bohemians Dublin
Bohemians Dublin0-2Galway United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bohemians Dublin 1559 · Galway United 1500

	Bohemians Dublin	Draw	Galway United
Our model	66%	21%	13%
Market	66%	21%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bohemians Dublin (rating 1559 vs 1500).
H2H favours Bohemians Dublin: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bohemians Dublin	Galway United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.7 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.7	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.33

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.88

2 (+1.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.8%

Time*	1	X	2
14:07 +2’	1.40	4.33	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bohemians Dublin 4–0–2 Galway United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	2-4 HT 0-2	Bohemians Dublin
13/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	1-0 HT 0-0	Galway United
17/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	2-0 HT 1-0	Bohemians Dublin
11/07/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	3-0 HT 0-0	Galway United
05/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Galway United	1-2 HT 1-0	Bohemians Dublin
28/03/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Bohemians Dublin	0-2 HT 0-1	Galway United

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	15	5	5	40	22	50
2	St Patricks	25	12	7	6	40	21	43
3	Bohemians Dublin	25	12	7	6	40	27	43
4	Dundalk	25	9	9	7	39	37	36
5	Shelbourne	24	8	10	6	35	35	34
6	Derry City	25	6	11	8	32	31	29
7	Galway United	24	7	7	10	32	39	28
8	Drogheda United	25	6	8	11	31	43	26
9	Waterford FC	25	4	10	11	33	47	22
10	Sligo Rovers	25	5	6	14	22	42	21

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bohemians Dublin	Galway United
St Patricks	2-0 W	0-3 L
Shelbourne	3-0 W	1-1 D
Dundalk	1-2 L	0-1 L
Derry City	1-4 L	2-1 W
Sligo Rovers	3-1 W	3-2 W
Shamrock Rovers	1-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Bohemians Dublin (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bohemians Dublin

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/07	KF Ballkani UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
16/07	St Joseph's FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
09/07	St Joseph's FC UEFA Conference League Qualifying	0-0	2-0	9	3	W
03/07	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
26/06	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
22/06	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-0	3-0	5	8	W
19/06	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
12/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	1-4	6	5	L
29/05	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-1	12	3	W
25/05	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-2	3	5	L

Galway United

WLDLWLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
17/07	Crumlin United Republic of Ireland FAI Cup	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
11/07	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-2	6	5	W
03/07	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-3	0-3	3	3	L
26/06	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
19/06	Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
12/06	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
29/05	Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
22/05	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	2-4	5	2	L
16/05	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	4-1	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bohemians Dublin vs Galway United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Bohemians Dublin win (66%). Probabilities: Bohemians Dublin 66%, draw 21%, Galway United 13%.

How many goals are expected in Bohemians Dublin vs Galway United?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Bohemians Dublin 2.16 · Galway United 0.88), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bohemians Dublin vs Galway United?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.