Football · Argentina Copa Santa Fe · 26/07, 20:00

Prediction: Argentino de Rosario vs Rosario Central

Team pages: Argentino de Rosario · Rosario Central

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Argentino de Rosario0.95
Rosario Central2
1X2
16% 23% 61%
Argentino de Rosario Draw Rosario Central
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Argentino de Rosario 1-6-3 (W-D-L)
DDWLLDDLDD
Rosario Central 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
WDWWDLWLLL
Head-to-head
Argentino de Rosario 0–2–0 Rosario Central (2 last)
  • Argentino de Rosario0-0Rosario Central
  • Argentino de Rosario0-0Rosario Central
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Argentino de Rosario 1473 · Rosario Central 1545
Argentino de RosarioDrawRosario Central
Our model16%23%61%
Market16%23%61%
Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rosario Central (rating 1473 vs 1545).
  • Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Argentino de RosarioRosario Central
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 1.41.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.41.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)6.8 / 0.75.2 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Argentino de Rosario 020 Rosario Central

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DateHomeScoreAway
21/07/24
Argentina Copa Santa Fe
Argentino de Rosario0-0
HT 0-0
Rosario Central
02/10/22
Argentina Copa Santa Fe
Argentino de Rosario0-0
HT 0-0
Rosario Central

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Argentino de Rosario

DDWLLDDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/07 Puerto Nuevo
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-0 55 D
17/07 Yupanqui
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 1-1 37 D
12/07 Club Leandro N. Alem
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-2 0-2 28 L
04/07 Defensores de Cambaceres
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 1-1 48 D
28/06 Union de Arroyo Seco
Argentina Copa Santa Fe
1-0 2-2 26 D
27/06 Juventud Unida San Miguel
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 0-3 45 L
15/06 Sacachispas
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-0 0-1 25 L
06/06 CA Lugano
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-0 2-1 48 W
30/05 Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
0-1 1-1 712 D
24/05 Berazategui
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana
1-2 2-2 111 D

Rosario Central

WDWWDLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Belgrano
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-2 62 L
31/05 Estudiantes LP
Argentina Cup
0-2 0-3 46 L
28/05 Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
0-0 0-1 25 L
20/05 UCV
Copa Libertadores
2-0 4-0 45 W
17/05 River Plate
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-0 0-1 19 L
13/05 Racing Club
Argentina Liga Profesional
0-1 1-1 38 D
10/05 CA Independiente
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-1 3-1 24 W
06/05 Libertad Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
0-0 1-0 56 W
03/05 CA Tigre
Argentina Liga Profesional
1-0 1-1 35 D
29/04 UCV
Copa Libertadores
1-0 3-0 66 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Argentino de Rosario vs Rosario Central?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rosario Central win (61%). Probabilities: Argentino de Rosario 16%, draw 23%, Rosario Central 61%.

How many goals are expected in Argentino de Rosario vs Rosario Central?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Argentino de Rosario 0.95 · Rosario Central 2), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Argentino de Rosario vs Rosario Central?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.