Football · Thailand Division 2 · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Mahasarakham SBT FC vs Songkhla FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.52Total

Mahasarakham SBT FC1.39

Songkhla FC1.14

1X2

42% 28% 30%

Mahasarakham SBT FC Draw Songkhla FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Mahasarakham SBT FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Songkhla FC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Mahasarakham SBT FC 1–1–0 Songkhla FC (2 last)

Mahasarakham SBT FC3-0Songkhla FC
Songkhla FC1-1Mahasarakham SBT FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mahasarakham SBT FC 1468 · Songkhla FC 1499

	Mahasarakham SBT FC	Draw	Songkhla FC
Our model	41%	29%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Mahasarakham SBT FC	Songkhla FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.1	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.40

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:45

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +15’	2.10	3.40	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Mahasarakham SBT FC 1–1–0 Songkhla FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Thailand Division 2	Mahasarakham SBT FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Songkhla FC
25/10/25 Thailand Division 2	Songkhla FC	1-1 HT 1-0	Mahasarakham SBT FC

Standings · Thailand Division 2

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#	Team	P	D	Pts
1	Muang Thong United	1	1	1
1	Uttaradit FC	1	1	1
3	Chainat FC	0	0	0
3	Chanthaburi FC	0	0	0
3	Chiangmai United	0	0	0
3	Kanchanaburi Power	0	0	0
3	Kasetsart FC	0	0	0
3	Khonkaen United	0	0	0
3	Mahasarakham SBT FC	0	0	0
3	Muang Loei United	0	0	0
3	Nakhon Pathom FC	0	0	0
3	Nakhon Ratchasima	0	0	0
3	Nong Bua Pitchaya	0	0	0
3	Pattaya United	0	0	0
3	Phrae United	0	0	0
3	Police Tero FC	0	0	0
3	PT Satun	0	0	0
3	Songkhla FC	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Mahasarakham SBT FC	Songkhla FC
Khonkaen United	2-2 D	1-0 W
Nakhon Si United	0-0 D	0-1 L
Chainat FC	1-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Songkhla FC (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mahasarakham SBT FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	Khonkaen United Thailand Division 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
18/04	Rasi Salai United Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-3	4	1	L
04/04	Nakhon Pathom FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	0-2	9	1	L
22/03	Trat FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	0-2	9	3	L
15/03	Pattani FC Thailand Division 2	0-0	1-2	3	5	L
08/03	Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
04/03	Pattaya United Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
01/03	Nakhon Si United Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
22/02	Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	3-0	4	1	W
19/02	Chainat FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Songkhla FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	Sisaket United Thailand Division 2	0-2	1-5	2	7	L
19/04	Nakhon Si United Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-1	8	7	L
04/04	Chanthaburi FC Thailand Division 2	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
20/03	Bangkok FC Thailand Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
14/03	Phrae United Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
07/03	Chainat FC Thailand Division 2	2-0	2-0	3	2	W
04/03	Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
01/03	Nong Bua Pitchaya Thailand Division 2	3-0	5-2	1	2	W
22/02	Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	0-3	5	1	L
18/02	Khonkaen United Thailand Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mahasarakham SBT FC vs Songkhla FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mahasarakham SBT FC win (42%). Probabilities: Mahasarakham SBT FC 42%, draw 28%, Songkhla FC 30%.

How many goals are expected in Mahasarakham SBT FC vs Songkhla FC?

The model expects 2.52 goals (Mahasarakham SBT FC 1.39 · Songkhla FC 1.14), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Mahasarakham SBT FC vs Songkhla FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.