Football · Thailand Division 2 · 05/09, 14:00

Prediction: Chanthaburi FC vs Khonkaen United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Chanthaburi FC1.34

Khonkaen United1.24

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Chanthaburi FC Draw Khonkaen United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Chanthaburi FC 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WDLWLLDDLD

Khonkaen United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDLLWWLWD

Head-to-head

Chanthaburi FC 1–1–0 Khonkaen United (2 last)

Khonkaen United1-1Chanthaburi FC
Chanthaburi FC2-1Khonkaen United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chanthaburi FC 1494 · Khonkaen United 1464

	Chanthaburi FC	Draw	Khonkaen United
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chanthaburi FC	Khonkaen United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.7	3.6 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.37
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.63 → 2.63	Pinn 2.82 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9% Pinnacle margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:48 +6’	2.30	3.30	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:54	2.37	3.05	2.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chanthaburi FC 1–1–0 Khonkaen United

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
14/02/26 Thailand Division 2	Khonkaen United	1-1 HT 1-1	Chanthaburi FC
05/10/25 Thailand Division 2	Chanthaburi FC	2-1 HT 2-1	Khonkaen United

Standings · Thailand Division 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	D	Pts
1	Muang Thong United	1	1	1
1	Uttaradit FC	1	1	1
3	Chainat FC	0	0	0
3	Chanthaburi FC	0	0	0
3	Chiangmai United	0	0	0
3	Kanchanaburi Power	0	0	0
3	Kasetsart FC	0	0	0
3	Khonkaen United	0	0	0
3	Mahasarakham SBT FC	0	0	0
3	Muang Loei United	0	0	0
3	Nakhon Pathom FC	0	0	0
3	Nakhon Ratchasima	0	0	0
3	Nong Bua Pitchaya	0	0	0
3	Pattaya United	0	0	0
3	Phrae United	0	0	0
3	Police Tero FC	0	0	0
3	PT Satun	0	0	0
3	Songkhla FC	0	0	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chanthaburi FC	Khonkaen United
Police Tero FC	1-1 D	2-1 W
Songkhla FC	1-1 D	0-1 L
Kasetsart FC	0-0 D	1-0 W
Chiangmai United	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chanthaburi FC

WDLWLLDDLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	1-1	2	5	D
18/04	Pattani FC Thailand Division 2	0-2	1-2	2	6	L
04/04	Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2	1-1	1-1	5	6	D
21/03	Nakhon Si United Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
14/03	Sisaket United Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	7	L
07/03	Bangkok FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	1-2	1	5	L
04/03	Chainat FC Thailand Division 2	2-1	4-1	1	3	W
01/03	Phrae United Thailand Division 2	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
22/02	Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
17/02	Chiangmai United Thailand Division 2	0-0	2-0	4	2	W

Khonkaen United

LWDLLWWLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/04	Mahasarakham SBT FC Thailand Division 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/04	Kasetsart FC Thailand Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	9	W
05/04	Nong Bua Pitchaya Thailand Division 2	1-1	2-4	4	1	L
21/03	Chiangmai United Thailand Division 2	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
13/03	Nakhon Pathom FC Thailand Division 2	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
07/03	Rasi Salai United Thailand Division 2	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
04/03	Trat FC Thailand Division 2	1-2	1-2	9	6	L
01/03	Pattaya United Thailand Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	6	D
21/02	Police Tero FC Thailand Division 2	0-1	2-1	7	3	W
18/02	Songkhla FC Thailand Division 2	0-0	0-1	8	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chanthaburi FC vs Khonkaen United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chanthaburi FC win (38%). Probabilities: Chanthaburi FC 38%, draw 28%, Khonkaen United 34%.

How many goals are expected in Chanthaburi FC vs Khonkaen United?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Chanthaburi FC 1.34 · Khonkaen United 1.24), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Chanthaburi FC vs Khonkaen United?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.