Football · Macau 1st Division · 26/07, 14:00

Prediction: Macau Chiba FC vs MUST IPO

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.84Total
Macau Chiba FC1.05
MUST IPO2.79
1X2
12% 15% 74%
Macau Chiba FC Draw MUST IPO
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Macau Chiba FC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DWDWWWLDLW
MUST IPO 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WDWWWWWWWD
Head-to-head
Macau Chiba FC 0–1–1 MUST IPO (2 last)
  • MUST IPO0-0Macau Chiba FC
  • MUST IPO4-0Macau Chiba FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Macau Chiba FC 1544 · MUST IPO 1605
Macau Chiba FCDrawMUST IPO
Our model11%16%73%
Market12%14%74%
Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours MUST IPO (rating 1544 vs 1605).
  • High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Macau Chiba FCMUST IPO
Goals for / against (FT)3 / 1.23.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.2 / 0.21.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/30/10%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 4.83.7 / 9.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.22.9 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Macau Chiba FC 011 MUST IPO

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/04/26
Macau 1st Division
MUST IPO0-0
HT 0-0
Macau Chiba FC
13/03/25
Macau 1st Division
MUST IPO4-0
HT 2-0
Macau Chiba FC

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMacau Chiba FCMUST IPO
Gala 0-3 L 2-2 D
Cheng Fung 1-1 D 6-1 W
Benfica Macau 1-2 L 3-1 W
Artilheiros 3-1 W 10-1 W
Hang Sai 2-1 W 3-0 W
Shao Jiang SA 3-3 D 1-0 W
Macau University 7-1 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: MUST IPO (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Macau Chiba FC

DWDWWWLDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
19/07 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
2-0 6-0 80 W
11/07 Gala
Macau 1st Division
0-1 0-3 37 L
05/07 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
1-1 1-1 52 D
28/06 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
1-0 1-2 04 L
21/06 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
0-0 3-1 W
14/06 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau FA Cup
2-0 7-0 50 W
31/05 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
1-0 2-1 86 W
10/05 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
2-0 3-3 23 D
03/05 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
3-0 7-1 102 W
26/04 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
0-0 0-0 24 D

MUST IPO

WDWWWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 Gala
Macau 1st Division
0-0 2-2 75 D
11/07 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
3-0 6-1 144 W
04/07 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
2-1 3-1 43 W
27/06 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
6-0 10-1 183 W
21/06 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-0 W
13/06 Cheng Fung
Macau FA Cup
1-0 5-0 111 W
29/05 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
0-0 2-0 140 W
02/05 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
0-0 1-0 43 W
26/04 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
0-0 0-0 124 D
12/04 Gala
Macau 1st Division
1-1 3-1 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Macau Chiba FC vs MUST IPO?

According to our model, the most likely result is an MUST IPO win (74%). Probabilities: Macau Chiba FC 12%, draw 15%, MUST IPO 74%.

How many goals are expected in Macau Chiba FC vs MUST IPO?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Macau Chiba FC 1.05 · MUST IPO 2.79), with a 53% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Macau Chiba FC vs MUST IPO?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.