Football · Macau 1st Division · 26/07, 12:00

Prediction: Gala vs Shao Jiang SA

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.39Total
Gala1.55
Shao Jiang SA2.84
1X2
19% 17% 64%
Gala Draw Shao Jiang SA
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-2
Recent form · 10 last
Gala 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWWWWD
Shao Jiang SA 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
DLDWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Gala 0–1–0 Shao Jiang SA (1 last)
  • Shao Jiang SA3-3Gala
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gala 1601 · Shao Jiang SA 1593
GalaDrawShao Jiang SA
Our model19%18%64%
Market19%17%64%
Estimated total (ours) 4.39 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 15.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

GalaShao Jiang SA
Goals for / against (FT)3.6 / 1.25.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 0.42.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)80/10/10%70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 6.25 / 9.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 0.32.1 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Gala 010 Shao Jiang SA

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Macau 1st Division
Shao Jiang SA3-3
HT 2-1
Gala

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGalaShao Jiang SA
MUST IPO 2-2 D 0-1 L
Macau Chiba FC 3-0 W 3-3 D
Gorilla Of The Universe SC 3-2 W 11-0 W
Cheng Fung 4-1 W 4-0 W
Benfica Macau 5-0 W 4-2 W
Hang Sai 5-0 W 5-2 W
Artilheiros 6-3 W 14-0 W
Macau University 3-0 W 6-0 W
Record vs common 7 W 1 D 0 L 6 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gala

DWWWWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/07 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
0-0 2-2 45 D
11/07 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-0 37 W
04/07 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
2-0 3-2 81 W
27/06 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
1-0 4-1 81 W
19/06 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
3-0 5-0 64 W
13/06 Hang Sai
Macau FA Cup
3-0 5-0 64 W
30/05 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
4-2 6-3 W
09/05 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
1-0 3-0 103 W
01/05 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
1-0 2-1 52 W
25/04 Shao Jiang SA
Macau 1st Division
1-2 3-3 61 D

Shao Jiang SA

DLDWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
18/07 Cheng Fung
Macau 1st Division
0-0 4-0 91 W
10/07 Benfica Macau
Macau 1st Division
3-1 4-2 81 W
03/07 Artilheiros
Macau 1st Division
7-0 14-0 132 W
26/06 Hang Sai
Macau 1st Division
3-0 5-2 74 W
20/06 Macau University
Macau 1st Division
3-0 6-0 60 W
14/06 Benfica Macau
Macau FA Cup
2-1 2-1 64 W
31/05 Gorilla Of The Universe SC
Macau 1st Division
6-0 11-0 172 W
10/05 Macau Chiba FC
Macau 1st Division
0-2 3-3 183 D
02/05 MUST IPO
Macau 1st Division
0-0 0-1 33 L
25/04 Gala
Macau 1st Division
2-1 3-3 71 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gala vs Shao Jiang SA?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shao Jiang SA win (64%). Probabilities: Gala 19%, draw 17%, Shao Jiang SA 64%.

How many goals are expected in Gala vs Shao Jiang SA?

The model expects 4.39 goals (Gala 1.55 · Shao Jiang SA 2.84), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Gala vs Shao Jiang SA?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.