Football · Romania Liga 2 · 01/08, 10:00

Prediction: Cetate Suceava vs CS Concordia Chiajna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.63Total

Cetate Suceava1.22

CS Concordia Chiajna1.41

1X2

32% 28% 40%

Cetate Suceava Draw CS Concordia Chiajna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cetate Suceava 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWW

CS Concordia Chiajna 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWDWWLDD

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cetate Suceava 1621 · CS Concordia Chiajna 1539

	Cetate Suceava	Draw	CS Concordia Chiajna
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	32%	27%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cetate Suceava (rating 1621 vs 1539).
High corners: 14 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cetate Suceava	CS Concordia Chiajna
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.8	1.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/50/13%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	5 / 8.9	2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.80

X3.30

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +5’	2.80	3.30	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bacau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Scolar Resita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chindia Targoviste	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	AFC Metalul Buzau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ASA Targu Mures	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cetate Suceava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Afumati	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Concordia Chiajna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Bistrita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC 1599 Selimbar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC Dumbravita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Stefanesti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Satu Mare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Slatina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Bihor Oradea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cetate Suceava

WWWWWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/05	ACS Sepsi II Romania Liga III	3-0	4-0	10	3	W
15/05	CS Blejoi Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
08/05	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	1-1	3-1	10	7	W
02/05	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Romania Liga III	–	3-2	–	–	W
24/04	ACS Sepsi II Romania Liga III	0-1	3-2	12	3	W
17/04	CS Blejoi Romania Liga III	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/04	CS Sporting Liesti Romania Liga III	–	6-1	–	–	W
03/04	ACS KSE Targu Secuiesc Romania Liga III	0-0	3-1	13	6	W
28/03	Soimii Gura Humorului Romania Liga III	2-1	3-1	5	4	W
21/03	CSM Adjud Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	6	1	W

CS Concordia Chiajna

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/07	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Club Friendly List	1-2	2-2	6	1	D
09/05	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-2	3	9	D
02/05	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
25/04	FC Bacau Romania Liga 2	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
18/04	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-1	2-1	6	4	W
10/04	CS Tunari Romania Liga 2	0-1	1-1	13	5	D
04/04	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
21/03	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
14/03	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
07/03	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-2	3	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cetate Suceava vs CS Concordia Chiajna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CS Concordia Chiajna win (40%). Probabilities: Cetate Suceava 32%, draw 28%, CS Concordia Chiajna 40%.

How many goals are expected in Cetate Suceava vs CS Concordia Chiajna?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Cetate Suceava 1.22 · CS Concordia Chiajna 1.41), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cetate Suceava vs CS Concordia Chiajna?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.