Football · Romania Liga 2 · 01/08, 10:00

Prediction: FC Bacau vs CS Stefanesti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

FC Bacau1.63

CS Stefanesti0.86

1X2

56% 24% 20%

FC Bacau Draw CS Stefanesti

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Bacau 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLWLWL

CS Stefanesti 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWLWDWWWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Bacau 1499 · CS Stefanesti 1546

	FC Bacau	Draw	CS Stefanesti
Our model	54%	27%	19%
Market	57%	21%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CS Stefanesti (rating 1499 vs 1546).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Bacau	CS Stefanesti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	1.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4.6	3.5 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.20

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:01

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +5’	1.57	4.20	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Romania Liga 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bacau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Scolar Resita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chindia Targoviste	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	AFC Metalul Buzau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ASA Targu Mures	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cetate Suceava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Afumati	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Concordia Chiajna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Bistrita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC 1599 Selimbar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC Dumbravita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Stefanesti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Satu Mare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Slatina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Bihor Oradea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Bacau

DWWWLLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/05	CSC 1599 Selimbar Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
02/05	CSC Dumbravita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	CS Concordia Chiajna Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-2	7	5	L
18/04	CS Afumati Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-1	6	4	W
10/04	CSM Satu Mare Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-3	7	3	L
04/04	Scolar Resita Romania Liga 2	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
21/03	CS Tunari Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/03	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	1-0	3-2	–	–	W
06/03	FC Voluntari Romania Liga 2	1-1	2-1	1	4	W
28/02	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

CS Stefanesti

LWLWDWWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	CS Urban Titu Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	5	2	W
20/06	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Club Friendly List	0-0	1-2	2	1	L
23/05	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	–	4-0	–	–	W
16/05	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	1-0	3-1	5	1	W
08/05	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	–	1-0	–	–	W
01/05	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
25/04	FC Agricola Borcea Romania Liga III	1-1	3-2	6	4	W
18/04	Dunarea Calarasi Romania Liga III	–	1-2	–	–	L
10/04	Inainte Modelu Romania Liga III	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
04/04	Gloria Popesti Leordeni Romania Liga III	0-0	0-1	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bacau vs CS Stefanesti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Bacau win (56%). Probabilities: FC Bacau 56%, draw 24%, CS Stefanesti 20%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bacau vs CS Stefanesti?

The model expects 2.5 goals (FC Bacau 1.63 · CS Stefanesti 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bacau vs CS Stefanesti?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.