Football · Romania Liga 2 · 01/08, 10:00

Prediction: FC Bihor Oradea vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

FC Bihor Oradea1.78

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia1.28

1X2

48% 26% 26%

FC Bihor Oradea Draw FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Bihor Oradea 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Bihor Oradea 1540 · FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 1457

	FC Bihor Oradea	Draw	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia
Our model	48%	25%	26%
Market	48%	27%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Bihor Oradea (rating 1540 vs 1457).
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Bihor Oradea	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	1.8 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.40

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.90▼	Bet365 1.90
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.40 → 3.50▲	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +5’	1.91	3.40	3.40
17:12 +2’	1.90▼	3.40	3.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bacau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Scolar Resita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chindia Targoviste	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	AFC Metalul Buzau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ASA Targu Mures	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cetate Suceava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Afumati	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Concordia Chiajna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Bistrita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC 1599 Selimbar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC Dumbravita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Stefanesti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Satu Mare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Slatina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Bihor Oradea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

FC Bihor Oradea

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/07	NK Rudes Club Friendly List	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
14/07	NK Bistrica Club Friendly List	1-0	4-0	7	3	W
12/07	NK Varazdin Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-3	1	1	L
08/07	Jadran Dekani Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
16/05	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
10/05	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	2-2	3-3	11	3	D
05/05	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-1	3	2	W
23/04	ACS Sepsi Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-2	4	6	W
19/04	CS Corvinul Hunedoara Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
15/04	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-2	1-3	8	3	L

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	AFC Metalul Buzau Club Friendly List	0-0	0-3	1	2	L
18/05	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
11/05	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
04/05	AFC Hermannstadt Romania Liga I	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
27/04	Metaloglobus Bucuresti Romania Liga I	1-0	1-1	1	2	D
18/04	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	1-2	2-3	4	8	L
12/04	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	1-0	1-2	1	9	L
05/04	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
27/03	CSA Steaua Bucuresti Europe Friendlies	1-3	3-4	8	2	L
23/03	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	1-1	2-1	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Bihor Oradea vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Bihor Oradea win (48%). Probabilities: FC Bihor Oradea 48%, draw 26%, FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 26%.

How many goals are expected in FC Bihor Oradea vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia?

The model expects 3.06 goals (FC Bihor Oradea 1.78 · FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia 1.28), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Bihor Oradea vs FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.