Football · Romania Liga 2 · 01/08, 10:00

Prediction: Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs AFC Metalul Buzau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.01Total

Metaloglobus Bucuresti1.61

AFC Metalul Buzau1.39

1X2

41% 28% 31%

Metaloglobus Bucuresti Draw AFC Metalul Buzau

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Metaloglobus Bucuresti 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWLLLDDDW

AFC Metalul Buzau 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWWWLWW

Head-to-head

Metaloglobus Bucuresti 0–1–0 AFC Metalul Buzau (1 last)

AFC Metalul Buzau2-2Metaloglobus Bucuresti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Metaloglobus Bucuresti 1482 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1572

	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	Draw	AFC Metalul Buzau
Our model	42%	26%	32%
Market	41%	29%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Metalul Buzau (rating 1482 vs 1572).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	AFC Metalul Buzau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.10

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20
X	3.30 → 3.10▼	Bet365 3.10
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:56 +5’	2.15	3.30	2.90
16:58 +17’	2.20▲	3.10▼	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Metaloglobus Bucuresti 0–1–0 AFC Metalul Buzau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/10/24 Romania Liga 2	AFC Metalul Buzau	2-2 HT 1-0	Metaloglobus Bucuresti

Standings · Romania Liga 2

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Bacau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Scolar Resita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chindia Targoviste	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	AFC Metalul Buzau	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	ASA Targu Mures	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Cetate Suceava	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Afumati	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Concordia Chiajna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Dinamo Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Bistrita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSA Steaua Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC 1599 Selimbar	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSC Dumbravita	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CS Stefanesti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Satu Mare	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Slatina	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC Bihor Oradea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Metaloglobus Bucuresti	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gloria Popesti Leordeni	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Stiinta Poli Timisoara	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Metaloglobus Bucuresti

DDWLLLDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/05	Farul Constanta Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
11/05	AFC Hermannstadt Romania Liga I	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
02/05	Otelul Galati Romania Liga I	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
27/04	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Romania Liga I	0-1	1-1	8	2	D
20/04	FC Botosani Romania Liga I	1-1	2-3	3	4	L
13/04	FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc Romania Liga I	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
05/04	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	0-2	1-5	7	4	L
21/03	Petrolul Ploiesti Romania Liga I	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
15/03	FCSB Romania Liga I	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
07/03	ACS UTA Batrana Doamna Romania Liga I	1-1	2-2	7	3	D

AFC Metalul Buzau

LWWWWWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia Club Friendly List	0-0	3-0	5	2	W
09/05	FC Ceahlaul Piatra Neamt Romania Liga 2	2-0	3-0	7	2	W
02/05	CSM Slatina Romania Liga 2	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
25/04	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
18/04	CSM Politehnica Iasi Romania Liga 2	0-0	2-0	7	5	W
10/04	Muscelul Campulung Romania Liga 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
04/04	ASA Targu Mures Romania Liga 2	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
21/03	CS Dinamo Bucuresti Romania Liga 2	1-0	4-2	5	5	W
14/03	Chindia Targoviste Romania Liga 2	2-1	3-2	2	7	W
08/03	Gloria Bistrita Romania Liga 2	1-3	1-4	5	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Metaloglobus Bucuresti win (41%). Probabilities: Metaloglobus Bucuresti 41%, draw 28%, AFC Metalul Buzau 31%.

How many goals are expected in Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model expects 3.01 goals (Metaloglobus Bucuresti 1.61 · AFC Metalul Buzau 1.39), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Metaloglobus Bucuresti vs AFC Metalul Buzau?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.